Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study

Hoyer A, Brinks R, Tonnies T, Saydah SH, D'Agostino RBJ, Divers J, Isom S, Dabelea D, Lawrence JM, Mayer-Davis EJ, Pihoker C, et al. (2023)
BMC Medical Research Methodology 23(1): 39.

Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | Englisch
 
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Autor*in
Hoyer, AnnikaUniBi; Brinks, Ralph; Tonnies, Thaddaus; Saydah, Sharon H; D'Agostino, Ralph B Jr; Divers, Jasmin; Isom, Scott; Dabelea, Dana; Lawrence, Jean M; Mayer-Davis, Elizabeth J; Pihoker, Catherine; Dolan, Lawrence
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Abstract / Bemerkung
BACKGROUND: Incidence is one of the most important epidemiologic indices in surveillance. However, determining incidence is complex and requires time-consuming cohort studies or registries with date of diagnosis. Estimating incidence from prevalence using mathematical relationships may facilitate surveillance efforts. The aim of this study was to examine whether a partial differential equation (PDE) can be used to estimate diabetes incidence from prevalence in youth.; METHODS: We used age-, sex-, and race/ethnicity-specific estimates of prevalence in 2001 and 2009 as reported in the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. Using these data, a PDE was applied to estimate the average incidence rates of type 1 and type 2 diabetes for the period between 2001 and 2009. Estimates were compared to annual incidence rates observed in SEARCH. Precision of the estimates was evaluated using 95% bootstrap confidence intervals.; RESULTS: Despite the long period between prevalence measures, the estimated average incidence rates mirror the average of the observed annual incidence rates. Absolute values of the age-standardized sex- and type-specific mean relative errors are below 8%.; CONCLUSIONS: Incidence of diabetes can be accurately estimated from prevalence. Since only cross-sectional prevalence data is required, employing this methodology in future studies may result in considerable cost savings. © 2023. The Author(s).
Stichworte
Adolescents; Children; Epidemiology; Illness‑death‑model; Surveillance; Type 1 diabetes; Type 2 diabetes
Erscheinungsjahr
2023
Zeitschriftentitel
BMC Medical Research Methodology
Band
23
Ausgabe
1
Art.-Nr.
39
eISSN
1471-2288
Page URI
https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/record/2969069

Zitieren

Hoyer A, Brinks R, Tonnies T, et al. Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. BMC Medical Research Methodology. 2023;23(1): 39.
Hoyer, A., Brinks, R., Tonnies, T., Saydah, S. H., D'Agostino, R. B. J., Divers, J., Isom, S., et al. (2023). Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 23(1), 39. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-023-01862-3
Hoyer, Annika, Brinks, Ralph, Tonnies, Thaddaus, Saydah, Sharon H, D'Agostino, Ralph B Jr, Divers, Jasmin, Isom, Scott, et al. 2023. “Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study”. BMC Medical Research Methodology 23 (1): 39.
Hoyer, A., Brinks, R., Tonnies, T., Saydah, S. H., D'Agostino, R. B. J., Divers, J., Isom, S., Dabelea, D., Lawrence, J. M., Mayer-Davis, E. J., et al. (2023). Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. BMC Medical Research Methodology 23:39.
Hoyer, A., et al., 2023. Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 23(1): 39.
A. Hoyer, et al., “Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study”, BMC Medical Research Methodology, vol. 23, 2023, : 39.
Hoyer, A., Brinks, R., Tonnies, T., Saydah, S.H., D'Agostino, R.B.J., Divers, J., Isom, S., Dabelea, D., Lawrence, J.M., Mayer-Davis, E.J., Pihoker, C., Dolan, L., Imperatore, G.: Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. BMC Medical Research Methodology. 23, : 39 (2023).
Hoyer, Annika, Brinks, Ralph, Tonnies, Thaddaus, Saydah, Sharon H, D'Agostino, Ralph B Jr, Divers, Jasmin, Isom, Scott, Dabelea, Dana, Lawrence, Jean M, Mayer-Davis, Elizabeth J, Pihoker, Catherine, Dolan, Lawrence, and Imperatore, Giuseppina. “Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study”. BMC Medical Research Methodology 23.1 (2023): 39.
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2023-07-20T11:17:36Z
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