Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Feigin VL, Nichols E, Alam T, Bannick MS, Beghi E, Blake N, Culpepper WJ, Dorsey ER, Elbaz A, Ellenbogen RG, Fisher JL, et al. (2019)
LANCET NEUROLOGY 18(5): 459-480.

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Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | Englisch
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Abstract / Bemerkung
Background Neurological disorders are increasingly recognised as major causes of death and disability worldwide. The aim of this analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 is to provide the most comprehensive and up-to-date estimates of the global, regional, and national burden from neurological disorders. Methods We estimated prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs; the sum of years of life lost [YLLs] and years lived with disability [YLDs]) by age and sex for 15 neurological disorder categories (tetanus, meningitis, encephalitis, stroke, brain and other CNS cancers, traumatic brain injury, spinal cord injury, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, Parkinson's disease, multiple sclerosis, motor neuron diseases, idiopathic epilepsy, migraine, tension-type headache, and a residual category for other less common neurological disorders) in 195 countries from 1990 to 2016. DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, was the main method of estimation of prevalence and incidence, and the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) was used for mortality estimation. We quantified the contribution of 84 risks and combinations of risk to the disease estimates for the 15 neurological disorder categories using the GBD comparative risk assessment approach. Findings Globally, in 2016, neurological disorders were the leading cause of DALYs (276 million [95% UI 247-308]) and second leading cause of deaths (9.0 million [8.8-9.4]). The absolute number of deaths and DALYs from all neurological disorders combined increased (deaths by 39% [34-44] and DALYs by 15% [9-21]) whereas their age-standardised rates decreased (deaths by 28% [26-30] and DALYs by 27% [24-31]) between 1990 and 2016. The only neurological disorders that had a decrease in rates and absolute numbers of deaths and DALYs were tetanus, meningitis, and encephalitis. The four largest contributors of neurological DALYs were stroke (42.2% [38.6-46.1]), migraine (16.3% [11.7-20.8]), Alzheimer's and other dementias (10.4% [9.0-124]), and meningitis (7.9% [6.6-10.4]). For the combined neurological disorders, age-standardised DALY rates were significantly higher in males than in females (male-to-female ratio 1.12 [1.05-1.20]), but migraine, multiple sclerosis, and tension-type headache were more common and caused more burden in females, with male-to-female ratios of less than 0.7. The 84 risks quantified in GBD explain less than 10% of neurological disorder DALY burdens, except stroke, for which 88.8% (86.5-90.9) of DALYs are attributable to risk factors, and to a lesser extent Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (22.3% [11.8-35.1] of DALYs are risk attributable) and idiopathic epilepsy (14.1% [10.8-17.5] of DALYs are risk attributable). Interpretation Globally, the burden of neurological disorders, as measured by the absolute number of DALYs, continues to increase. As populations are growing and ageing, and the prevalence of major disabling neurological disorders steeply increases with age, governments will face increasing demand for treatment, rehabilitation, and support services for neurological disorders. The scarcity of established modifiable risks for most of the neurological burden demonstrates that new knowledge is required to develop effective prevention and treatment strategies. Copyright (C) The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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LANCET NEUROLOGY
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18
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5
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459-480
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Feigin VL, Nichols E, Alam T, et al. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. LANCET NEUROLOGY. 2019;18(5):459-480.
Feigin, V. L., Nichols, E., Alam, T., Bannick, M. S., Beghi, E., Blake, N., Culpepper, W. J., et al. (2019). Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. LANCET NEUROLOGY, 18(5), 459-480. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30499-X
Feigin, V. L., Nichols, E., Alam, T., Bannick, M. S., Beghi, E., Blake, N., Culpepper, W. J., Dorsey, E. R., Elbaz, A., Ellenbogen, R. G., et al. (2019). Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. LANCET NEUROLOGY 18, 459-480.
Feigin, V.L., et al., 2019. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. LANCET NEUROLOGY, 18(5), p 459-480.
V.L. Feigin, et al., “Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016”, LANCET NEUROLOGY, vol. 18, 2019, pp. 459-480.
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LANCET NEUROLOGY. 18, 459-480 (2019).
Feigin, Valery L., Nichols, Emma, Alam, Tahiya, Bannick, Marlena S., Beghi, Ettore, Blake, Natacha, Culpepper, William J., Dorsey, E. Ray, Elbaz, Alexis, Ellenbogen, Richard G., Fisher, James L., Fitzmaurice, Christina, Giussani, Giorgia, Glennie, Linda, James, Spencer L., Johnson, Catherine Owens, Kassebaum, Nicholas J., Logroscino, Giancarlo, Marin, Benoit, Mountjoy-Venning, W. Cliff, Minh Nguyen, Minh Nguyen, Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Patel, Anoop P., Piccininni, Marco, Roth, Gregory A., Steiner, Timothy J., Stovner, Lars Jacob, Szoeke, Cassandra E. I., Theadom, Alice, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wallin, Mitchell Taylor, Wright, Claire, Zunt, Joseph Raymond, Abbasi, Nooshin, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Aboyans, Victor, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Acharya, Dilaram, Adamu, Abdu A., Adebayo, Oladimeji M., Adeoye, Abiodun Moshood, Adsuar, Jose C., Afarideh, Mohsen, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akseer, Nadia, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Salman, Rustam Al-Shahi, Alahdab, Fares, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Altirkawi, Khalid, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T., Arabloo, Jalal, Aremu, Olatunde, Arnlov, Johan, Asayesh, Hamid, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Atalay, Hagos Tasew, Awasthi, Ashish, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Ayuk, Tambe B., Badawi, Alaa, Banach, Maciej, Banoub, Joseph Adel Mattar, Barboza, Miguel A., Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Barnighausen, Till Winfried, Baune, Bernhard T., Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Bejot, Yannick, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Belachew, Abate Bekele, Bennett, Derrick A., Bensenor, Isabela M., Berhane, Adugnaw, Beuran, Mircea, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A., Biadgo, Belete, Bijani, Ali, Bililign, Nigus, Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat, Blazes, Christopher Kynrint, Brayne, Carol, Butt, Zahid A., Campos-Nonato, Ismael R., Cantu-Brito, Carlos, Car, Mate, Cardenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan J., Carvalho, Felix, Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A., Castro, Franz, Catala-Lopez, Ferran, Cerin, Ester, Chaiah, Yazan, Chang, Jung-Chen, Chatziralli, Irini, Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia, Christensen, Hanne, Christopher, Devasahayam J., Cooper, Cyrus, Cortesi, Paolo Angelo, Costa, Vera M., Criqui, Michael H., Crowe, Christopher Stephen, Damasceno, Albertino Antonio Moura, Daryani, Ahmad, De la Cruz-Gongora, Vanessa, Pio De la Hoz, Fernando, De Leo, Diego, Degefa, Meaza Girma, Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Deribe, Kebede, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Diaz, Daniel, Dinberu, Mesfin Tadese, Djalalinia, Shirin, Doku, David Teye, Dubey, Manisha, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duken, Eyasu Ejeta, Edvardsson, David, El-Khatib, Ziad, Endres, Matthias, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Esteghamati, Alireza, Esteghamati, Sadaf, Farhadi, Farzaneh, Faro, Andre, Farzadfar, Farshad, Farzaei, Mohammad Hosein, Fatima, Batool, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Feyissa, Garumma Tolu, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Ganji, Morsaleh, Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho, Garcia-Gordillo, Miguel A., Gebre, Abadi Kahsu, Gebremichael, Teklu Gebrehiwo, Gelaw, Belayneh K., Geleijnse, Johanna M., Geremew, Demeke, Gezae, Kebede Embaye, Ghasemi-Kasman, Maryam, Gidey, Mahari Y., Gill, Paramjit Singh, Gill, Tiffany K., Gnedovskaya, Elena V., Goulart, Alessandra C., Grada, Ayman, Grosso, Giuseppe, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Haagsma, Juanita A., Hagos, Tekleberhan B., Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Haj-Mirzaian, Arya, Hamadeh, Randah R., Hamidi, Samer, Hankey, Graeme J., Hao, Yuantao, Haro, Josep Maria, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hay, Simon I., Hegazy, Mohamed I., Heidari, Behnam, Henok, Andualem, Heydarpour, Fatemeh, Hoang, Chi Linh, Hole, Michael K., Rad, Enayatollah Homaie, Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa, Hu, Guoqing, Igumbor, Ehimario U., Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jobanputra, Yash B., Jonas, Jost B., Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Jurisson, Mikk, Kahsay, Amaha, Kalani, Rizwan, Kalkonde, Yogeshwar, Kamil, Teshome Abegaz, Kanchan, Tanuj, Karami, Manoochehr, Karch, Andre, Karimi, Narges, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassa, Tesfaye Dessale, Kassa, Zemenu Yohannes, Kaul, Anil, Kefale, Adane Teshome, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khalil, Ibrahim A., Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khang, Young-Ho, Khazaie, Habibolah, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A., Kiirithio, Daniel N., Kim, Anthony S., Kim, Daniel, Kim, Young-Eun, Kim, Yun Jin, Kisa, Adnan, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Koyanagi, Ai, Krishnamurthi, Rita V., Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Kumar, Manasi, Lacey, Ben, Lafranconi, Alessandra, Lansingh, Van C., Latifi, Arman, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Li, Shanshan, Liao, Yu, Linn, Shai, Lo, Warren David, Lopez, Jaifred Christian F., Lorkowski, Stefan, Lotufo, Paulo A., Lucas, Robyn M., Lunevicius, Raimundas, Mackay, Mark T., Mahotra, Narayan Bahadur, Majdan, Marek, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Manafi, Navid, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni, Marz, Winfried, Mashamba-Thompson, Tivani Phosa, Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard, Mate, Kedar K. 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3 Zitationen in Europe PMC

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Frailty, Cognitive Decline, Neurodegenerative Diseases and Nutrition Interventions.
Gómez-Gómez ME, Zapico SC., Int J Mol Sci 20(11), 2019
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Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and risk of epilepsy after traumatic brain injury - A population based cohort study.
Christensen J, Pedersen HS, Fenger-Grøn M, Fann JR, Jones NC, Vestergaard M., PLoS One 14(7), 2019
PMID: 31323024

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GBD 2016 Epilepsy Collaborators, Beghi E, Giussani G, Nichols E, Abd-Allah F, Abdela J, Abdelalim A, Abraha HN, Adib MG, Agrawal S, Alahdab F, Awasthi A, Ayele Y, Barboza MA, Belachew AB, Biadgo B, Bijani A, Bitew H, Carvalho F, Chaiah Y, Daryani A, Do HP, Dubey M, Endries AYY, Eskandarieh S, Faro A, Farzadfar F, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes E, Fijabi DO, Filip I, Fischer F, Gebre AK, Tsadik AG, Gebremichael TG, Gezae KE, Ghasemi-Kasman M, Weldegwergs KG, Degefa MG, Gnedovskaya EV, Hagos TB, Haj-Mirzaian A, Haj-Mirzaian A, Hassen HY, Hay SI, Jakovljevic M, Kasaeian A, Kassa TD, Khader YS, Khalil I, Khan EA, Khubchandani J, Kisa A, Krohn KJ, Kulkarni C, Nirayo YL, Mackay MT, Majdan M, Majeed A, Manhertz T, Mehndiratta MM, Mekonen T, Meles HG, Mengistu G, Mohammed S, Naghavi M, Mokdad AH, Mustafa G, Irvani SSN, Nguyen LH, Nixon MR, Ogbo FA, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Owolabi MO, Phillips MR, Pinilla-Monsalve GD, Qorbani M, Radfar A, Rafay A, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Reinig N, Sachdev PS, Safari H, Safari S, Safiri S, Sahraian MA, Samy AM, Sarvi S, Sawhney M, Shaikh MA, Sharif M, Singh G, Smith M, Szoeke CEI, Tabares-Seisdedos R, Temsah MH, Temsah O, Tortajada-Girbes M, Tran BX, Tsegay AAT, Ullah I, Venketasubramanian N, Westerman R, Winkler AS, Yimer EM, Yonemoto N, Feigin VL, Vos T, Murray CJL., Lancet Neurol 18(4), 2019
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Global, regional, and national burden of migraine and tension-type headache, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.
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Global, regional, and national burden of meningitis, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.
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PMID: 30507391
Global, regional, and national burden of motor neuron diseases 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.
GBD 2016 Motor Neuron Disease Collaborators, Logroscino G, Piccininni M, Marin B, Nichols E, Abd-Allah F, Abdelalim A, Alahdab F, Asgedom SW, Awasthi A, Chaiah Y, Daryani A, Do HP, Dubey M, Elbaz A, Eskandarieh S, Farhadi F, Farzadfar F, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes E, Filip I, Foreman KJ, Gebre AK, Gnedovskaya EV, Hamidi S, Hay SI, Irvani SSN, Ji JS, Kasaeian A, Kim YJ, Mantovani LG, Mashamba-Thompson TP, Mehndiratta MM, Mokdad AH, Nagel G, Nguyen TH, Nixon MR, Olagunju AT, Owolabi MO, Piradov MA, Qorbani M, Radfar A, Reiner RC, Sahraian MA, Sarvi S, Sharif M, Temsah O, Tran BX, Truong NT, Venketasubramanian N, Winkler AS, Yimer EM, Feigin VL, Vos T, Murray CJL., Lancet Neurol 17(12), 2018
PMID: 30409709
Global, regional, and national burden of multiple sclerosis 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.
GBD 2016 Multiple Sclerosis Collaborators, Wallin MT, Culpepper WJ, Nichols E, Bhutta ZA, Gebrehiwot TT, Hay SI, Khalil IA, Krohn KJ, Liang X, Naghavi M, Mokdad AH, Nixon MR, Reiner RC, Sartorius B, Smith M, Topor-Madry R, Werdecker A, Vos T, Feigin VL, Murray CJL., Lancet Neurol 18(3), 2019
PMID: 30679040
Global, regional, and national burden of Parkinson's disease, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.
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PMID: 30287051
Global, regional, and national burden of stroke, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.
GBD 2016 Stroke Collaborators, Johnson CO, Nguyen M, Roth GA, Nichols E, Alam T, Abate D, Abd-Allah F, Abdelalim A, Abraha HN, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Adebayo OM, Adeoye AM, Agarwal G, Agrawal S, Aichour AN, Aichour I, Aichour MTE, Alahdab F, Ali R, Alvis-Guzman N, Anber NH, Anjomshoa M, Arabloo J, Arauz A, Arnlov J, Arora A, Awasthi A, Banach M, Barboza MA, Barker-Collo SL, Barnighausen TW, Basu S, Belachew AB, Belayneh YM, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Bhattacharyya K, Biadgo B, Bijani A, Bikbov B, Bin Sayeed MS, Butt ZA, Cahuana-Hurtado L, Carrero JJ, Carvalho F, Castaneda-Orjuela CA, Castro F, Catala-Lopez F, Chaiah Y, Chiang PP, Choi JJ, Christensen H, Chu DT, Cortinovis M, Damasceno AAM, Dandona L, Dandona R, Daryani A, Davletov K, de Courten B, De la Cruz-Gongora V, Degefa MG, Dharmaratne SD, Diaz D, Dubey M, Duken EE, Edessa D, Endres M, Faraon EJA, Farzadfar F, Fernandes E, Fischer F, Flor LS, Ganji M, Gebre AK, Gebremichael TG, Geta B, Gezae KE, Gill PS, Gnedovskaya EV, Gomez-Dantes H, Goulart AC, Grosso G, Guo Y, Gupta R, Haj-Mirzaian A, Haj-Mirzaian A, Hamidi S, Hankey GJ, Hassen HY, Hay SI, Hegazy MI, Heidari B, Herial NA, Hosseini MA, Hostiuc S, Irvani SSN, Islam SMS, Jahanmehr N, Javanbakht M, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Jozwiak JJ, Jurisson M, Kahsay A, Kalani R, Kalkonde Y, Kamil TA, Kanchan T, Karch A, Karimi N, Karimi-Sari H, Kasaeian A, Kassa TD, Kazemeini H, Kefale AT, Khader YS, Khalil IA, Khan EA, Khang YH, Khubchandani J, Kim D, Kim YJ, Kisa A, Kivimaki M, Koyanagi A, Krishnamurthi RK, Kumar GA, Lafranconi A, Lewington S, Li S, Lo WD, Lopez AD, Lorkowski S, Lotufo PA, Mackay MT, Majdan M, Majdzadeh R, Majeed A, Malekzadeh R, Manafi N, Mansournia MA, Mehndiratta MM, Mehta V, Mengistu G, Meretoja A, Meretoja TJ, Miazgowski B, Miazgowski T, Miller TR, Mirrakhimov EM, Mohajer B, Mohammad Y, Mohammadoo-Khorasani M, Mohammed S, Mohebi F, Mokdad AH, Mokhayeri Y, Moradi G, Morawska L, Moreno Velasquez I, Mousavi SM, Muhammed OSS, Muruet W, Naderi M, Naghavi M, Naik G, Nascimento BR, Negoi RI, Nguyen CT, Nguyen LH, Nirayo YL, Norrving B, Noubiap JJ, Ofori-Asenso R, Ogbo FA, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Owolabi MO, Pandian JD, Patel S, Perico N, Piradov MA, Polinder S, Postma MJ, Poustchi H, Prakash V, Qorbani M, Rafiei A, Rahim F, Rahimi K, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman M, Rahman MA, Reis C, Remuzzi G, Renzaho AMN, Ricci S, Roberts NLS, Robinson SR, Roever L, Roshandel G, Sabbagh P, Safari H, Safari S, Safiri S, Sahebkar A, Salehi Zahabi S, Samy AM, Santalucia P, Santos IS, Santos JV, Santric Milicevic MM, Sartorius B, Sawant AR, Schutte AE, Sepanlou SG, Shafieesabet A, Shaikh MA, Shams-Beyranvand M, Sheikh A, Sheth KN, Shibuya K, Shigematsu M, Shin MJ, Shiue I, Siabani S, Sobaih BH, Sposato LA, Sutradhar I, Sylaja PN, Szoeke CEI, Te Ao BJ, Temsah MH, Temsah O, Thrift AG, Tonelli M, Topor-Madry R, Tran BX, Tran KB, Truelsen TC, Tsadik AG, Ullah I, Uthman OA, Vaduganathan M, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Vasanthan R, Venketasubramanian N, Vosoughi K, Vu GT, Waheed Y, Weiderpass E, Weldegwergs KG, Westerman R, Wolfe CDA, Wondafrash DZ, Xu G, Yadollahpour A, Yamada T, Yatsuya H, Yimer EM, Yonemoto N, Yousefifard M, Yu C, Zaidi Z, Zamani M, Zarghi A, Zhang Y, Zodpey S, Feigin VL, Vos T, Murray CJL., Lancet Neurol 18(5), 2019
PMID: 30871944
Disability weights for the Global Burden of Disease 2013 study.
Salomon JA, Haagsma JA, Davis A, de Noordhout CM, Polinder S, Havelaar AH, Cassini A, Devleesschauwer B, Kretzschmar M, Speybroeck N, Murray CJ, Vos T., Lancet Glob Health 3(11), 2015
PMID: 26475018
Global burden of stroke and risk factors in 188 countries, during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.
Feigin VL, Roth GA, Naghavi M, Parmar P, Krishnamurthi R, Chugh S, Mensah GA, Norrving B, Shiue I, Ng M, Estep K, Cercy K, Murray CJL, Forouzanfar MH; Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2013 and Stroke Experts Writing Group., Lancet Neurol 15(9), 2016
PMID: 27291521
Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease through population-wide motivational strategies: insights from using smartphones in stroke prevention
Feigin VL, Norrving B, Mensah GA., 2017
Public Health Challenges in India: Seizing the Opportunities.
Narain JP., Indian J Community Med 41(2), 2016
PMID: 27051080
Refractory migraine in a headache clinic population.
Irimia P, Palma JA, Fernandez-Torron R, Martinez-Vila E., BMC Neurol 11(), 2011
PMID: 21806790
New Zealand's neurologist workforce: a pragmatic analysis of demand, supply and future projections.
Ranta AA, Tiwari P, Mottershead J, Abernethy D, Simpson M, Brickell K, Lynch C, Walker E, Frith R., N. Z. Med. J. 128(1419), 2015
PMID: 26365844

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