Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

James SL, Abate D, Abate KH, Abay SM, Abbafati C, Abbasi N, Abbastabar H, Abd-Allah F, Abdela J, Abdelalim A, Abdollahpour I, et al. (2018)
Lancet 392(10159): 1789-1858.

Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | Englisch
 
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James, Spencer L; Abate, Degu; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen; Abay, Solomon M; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbasi, Nooshin; Abbastabar, Hedayat; Abd-Allah, Foad; Abdela, Jemal; Abdelalim, Ahmed; Abdollahpour, Ibrahim; Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi
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Abstract / Bemerkung
Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017) includes a comprehensive assessment of incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 354 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. Previous GBD studies have shown how the decline of mortality rates from 1990 to 2016 has led to an increase in life expectancy, an ageing global population, and an expansion of the non-fatal burden of disease and injury. These studies have also shown how a substantial portion of the world's population experiences non-fatal health loss with considerable heterogeneity among different causes, locations, ages, and sexes. Ongoing objectives of the GBD study include increasing the level of estimation detail, improving analytical strategies, and increasing the amount of high-quality data. Methods We estimated incidence and prevalence for 354 diseases and injuries and 3484 sequelae. We used an updated and extensive body of literature studies, survey data, surveillance data, inpatient admission records, outpatient visit records, and health insurance claims, and additionally used results from cause of death models to inform estimates using a total of 68 781 data sources. Newly available clinical data from India, Iran, Japan, Jordan, Nepal, China, Brazil, Norway, and Italy were incorporated, as well as updated claims data from the USA and new claims data from Taiwan (province of China) and Singapore. We used DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, as the main method of estimation, ensuring consistency between rates of incidence, prevalence, remission, and cause of death for each condition. YLDs were estimated as the product of a prevalence estimate and a disability weight for health states of each mutually exclusive sequela, adjusted for comorbidity. We updated the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary development indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and total fertility rate. Additionally, we calculated differences between male and female YLDs to identify divergent trends across sexes. GBD 2017 complies with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting. Findings Globally, for females, the causes with the greatest age-standardised prevalence were oral disorders, headache disorders, and haemoglobinopathies and haemolytic anaemias in both 1990 and 2017. For males, the causes with the greatest age-standardised prevalence were oral disorders, headache disorders, and tuberculosis including latent tuberculosis infection in both 1990 and 2017. In terms of YLDs, low back pain, headache disorders, and dietary iron deficiency were the leading Level 3 causes of YLD counts in 1990, whereas low back pain, headache disorders, and depressive disorders were the leading causes in 2017 for both sexes combined. All-cause age-standardised YLD rates decreased by 39% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3.1-4. 6) from 1990 to 2017; however, the all-age YLD rate increased by 7.2% (6.0-8.4) while the total sum of global YLDs increased from 562 million (421-723) to 853 million (642-1100). The increases for males and females were similar, with increases in all-age YLD rates of 7.9% (6 6-9. 2) for males and 6.5% (5.4-7.7) for females. We found significant differences between males and females in terms of age-standardised prevalence estimates for multiple causes. The causes with the greatest relative differences between sexes in 2017 included substance use disorders (3018 cases [95% UI 2782-3252] per 100 000 in males vs 1400 [1279-1524] per 100 000 in females), transport injuries (3322 [3082-3583] vs 2336 [2154-2535]), and self-hatin and interpersonal violence (3265 [2943-3630] vs 5643 [5057-6302]). Interpretation Global all-cause age-standardised YLD rates have improved only slightly over a period spanning nearly three decades. However, the magnitude of the non-fatal disease burden has expanded globally, with increasing numbers of people who have a wide spectrum of conditions. A subset of conditions has remained globally pervasive since 1990, whereas other conditions have displayed more dynamic trends, with different ages, sexes, and geographies across the globe experiencing varying burdens and trends of health loss. This study emphasises how global improvements in premature mortality for select conditions have led to older populations with complex and potentially expensive diseases, yet also highlights global achievements in certain domains of disease and injury. Copyright (C) 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Erscheinungsjahr
2018
Zeitschriftentitel
Lancet
Band
392
Ausgabe
10159
Seite(n)
1789-1858
ISSN
0140-6736
Page URI
https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/record/2932382

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James SL, Abate D, Abate KH, et al. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet. 2018;392(10159):1789-1858.
James, S. L., Abate, D., Abate, K. H., Abay, S. M., Abbafati, C., Abbasi, N., Abbastabar, H., et al. (2018). Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet, 392(10159), 1789-1858. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32279-7
James, S. L., Abate, D., Abate, K. H., Abay, S. M., Abbafati, C., Abbasi, N., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdela, J., Abdelalim, A., et al. (2018). Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet 392, 1789-1858.
James, S.L., et al., 2018. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet, 392(10159), p 1789-1858.
S.L. James, et al., “Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017”, Lancet, vol. 392, 2018, pp. 1789-1858.
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49 Zitationen in Europe PMC

Daten bereitgestellt von Europe PubMed Central.

Trends in the Incidence and Mortality of Diabetes in China from 1990 to 2017: A Joinpoint and Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.
Liu X, Yu C, Wang Y, Bi Y, Liu Y, Zhang ZJ., Int J Environ Res Public Health 16(1), 2019
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FKBP5 Gene Expression Predicts Antidepressant Treatment Outcome in Depression.
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Cause-specific mortality estimates for Malaysia in 2013: results from a national sample verification study using medical record review and verbal autopsy.
Omar A, Ganapathy SS, Anuar MFM, Khoo YY, Jeevananthan C, Maria Awaluddin S, Yn JLM, Rao C., BMC Public Health 19(1), 2019
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Evaluation of the Treatment Effect of Aloe vera Fermentation in Burn Injury Healing Using a Rat Model.
Hai Z, Ren Y, Hu J, Wang H, Qin Q, Chen T., Mediators Inflamm 2019(), 2019
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Patterns of healthcare seeking behavior among persons with diabetes in Central India: A mixed method study.
Nimesh VV, Halder A, Mitra A, Kumar S, Joshi A, Joshi R, Pakhare A., J Family Med Prim Care 8(2), 2019
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Development and challenges of mental health in China.
Que J, Lu L, Shi L., Gen Psychiatr 32(1), 2019
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Are There Changes in Inequalities in Injuries? A Review of Evidence in the WHO European Region.
Sengoelge M, Leithaus M, Braubach M, Laflamme L., Int J Environ Res Public Health 16(4), 2019
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Global Typhoid Fever Incidence: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.
Marchello CS, Hong CY, Crump JA., Clin Infect Dis 68(supplement_2), 2019
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Measuring population ageing: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.
Chang AY, Skirbekk VF, Tyrovolas S, Kassebaum NJ, Dieleman JL., Lancet Public Health 4(3), 2019
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Global epidemiology, risk factors, and histological types of ovarian cancers in Trinidad.
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The Role of Tocotrienol in Protecting Against Metabolic Diseases.
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Global Need for Physical Rehabilitation: Systematic Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.
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The Influence of Using a Footstool during a Prolonged Standing Task on Low Back Pain in Office Workers.
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Potential for additional government spending on HIV/AIDS in 137 low-income and middle-income countries: an economic modelling study.
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Tracking spending on malaria by source in 106 countries, 2000-16: an economic modelling study.
Haakenstad A, Harle AC, Tsakalos G, Micah AE, Tao T, Anjomshoa M, Cohen J, Fullman N, Hay SI, Mestrovic T, Mohammed S, Mousavi SM, Nixon MR, Pigott D, Tran K, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL., Lancet Infect Dis 19(7), 2019
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Care for low back pain: can health systems deliver?
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International incidence of psychotic disorders, 2002-17: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
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Pediatric tropical medicine: The neglected diseases of children.
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Infection of Human Neutrophils With Leishmania infantum or Leishmania major Strains Triggers Activation and Differential Cytokines Release.
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Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Cork MA, Sligar A, Steuben KM, Wilson KF, Provost NR, Mayala BK, VanderHeide JD, Collison ML, Hall JB, Biehl MH, Carter A, Frank T, Douwes-Schultz D, Burstein R, Casey DC, Deshpande A, Earl L, El Bcheraoui C, Farag TH, Henry NJ, Kinyoki D, Marczak LB, Nixon MR, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Pigott D, Reiner RC, Ross JM, Schaeffer LE, Smith DL, Davis Weaver N, Wiens KE, Eaton JW, Justman JE, Opio A, Sartorius B, Tanser F, Wabiri N, Piot P, Murray CJL, Hay SI., Nature 570(7760), 2019
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Neuroprotective Effects of Diets Containing Olive Oil and DHA/EPA in a Mouse Model of Cerebral Ischemia.
Gonzalo-Gobernado R, Ayuso MI, Sansone L, Bernal-Jiménez JJ, Ramos-Herrero VD, Sánchez-García E, Ramos TL, Abia R, Muriana FJG, Bermúdez B, Montaner J., Nutrients 11(5), 2019
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Understanding Adults With Chronic Kidney Disease and Their Caregivers' Self-Management Experiences: A Qualitative Study Using the Theoretical Domains Framework.
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HIV and the growing health burden from noncommunicable diseases in Botswana: modelling study.
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Burden of colorectal cancer in China, 1990-2017: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.
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Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors in Child and Adolescent Health, 1990 to 2017: Findings From the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2017 Study.
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Progress in pain medicine: where are we now?
Colvin LA, Rice ASC., Br J Anaesth 123(2), 2019
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Association of Anorexia Nervosa With Risk of Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.
Catalá-López F, Forés-Martos J, Driver JA, Page MJ, Hutton B, Ridao M, Alonso-Arroyo A, Macías Saint-Gerons D, Gènova-Maleras R, Valderas JM, Vieta E, Valencia A, Tabarés-Seisdedos R., JAMA Netw Open 2(6), 2019
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Acceptance and commitment therapy for chronic pain: protocol of a systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis.
Lin J, Scott W, Carpenter L, Norton S, Domhardt M, Baumeister H, McCracken LM., Syst Rev 8(1), 2019
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Diagnostic Performance of PET or PET/CT Using 18F-FDG Labeled White Blood Cells in Infectious Diseases: A Systematic Review and a Bivariate Meta-Analysis.
Meyer M, Testart N, Jreige M, Kamani C, Moshebah M, Muoio B, Nicod-Lalonde M, Schaefer N, Giovanella L, Prior JO, Treglia G., Diagnostics (Basel) 9(2), 2019
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Clustering of 27,525,663 Death Records from the United States Based on Health Conditions Associated with Death: An Example of big Health Data Exploration.
Janssen DJA, Rechberger S, Wouters EFM, Schols JMGA, Johnson MJ, Currow DC, Curtis JR, Spruit MA., J Clin Med 8(7), 2019
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MicroRNA‑20 induces methylation of hepatitis B virus covalently closed circular DNA in human hepatoma cells.
Moon IY, Choi JH, Chung JW, Jang ES, Jeong SH, Kim JW., Mol Med Rep 20(3), 2019
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Developing a community-based breast cancer risk prediction tool for resource-poor settings.
Pillai D, Hossain SS, Chattu VK., J Educ Health Promot 8(), 2019
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Sex differences in the association of metabolic syndrome with low back pain among middle-aged Japanese adults: a large-scale cross-sectional study.
Yoshimoto T, Ochiai H, Shirasawa T, Nagahama S, Uehara A, Sai S, Kokaze A., Biol Sex Differ 10(1), 2019
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Brazilian Society of Cardiology - The Women's Letter.
Oliveira GMM, Negri FEFO, Clausell NO, Moreira MDCV, Souza OF, Macedo AVS, Marino BCA, Polanczyk CA, Lantieri CJB, Marques-Santos C, Freire CMV, Nercolini DC, Pedroti FCM, Barbosa ICQ, Santos MAD, Braile MCVB, Paiva MSMO, Dracoulakis MDA, Holanda NC, Rolim PTR, Teixeira RTB, Mattos S, Silva SCTFD, Brandão SCS, Lemke VMG, Lopes MACQ., Arq Bras Cardiol 112(6), 2019
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Wine glass size and wine sales: four replication studies in one restaurant and two bars.
Clarke N, Pechey R, Pilling M, Hollands GJ, Mantzari E, Marteau TM., BMC Res Notes 12(1), 2019
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Rehabilitation for balance impairment in patients after stroke: a protocol of a systematic review and network meta-analysis.
Li J, Zhong D, Ye J, He M, Liu X, Zheng H, Jin R, Zhang SL., BMJ Open 9(7), 2019
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Prevalence and determinants of hyperglycaemia among adults in Bangladesh: results from a population-based national survey.
Islam JY, Zaman MM, Bhuiyan MR, Haq SA, Ahmed S, Al-Qadir AZ., BMJ Open 9(7), 2019
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Chasms in Achievement of Recommended Diabetes Care among Geographic Regions in Korea.
Cho S, Shin JY, Kim HJ, Eun SJ, Kang S, Jang WM, Jung H, Kim Y, Lee JY., J Korean Med Sci 34(31), 2019
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RESPIRE: The National Institute for Health Research's (NIHR) Global Respiratory Health Unit.
Sheikh A, Campbell H, Balharry D, Baqui AH, Bogaert D, Cresswell K, Cunningham S, Dockerell D, El Arifeen S, Fletcher M, Grant L, Ghazali SS, Habib M, Hazir T, Isaac R, Juvekar S, Khoo EM, McKinstry B, Morris AD, Nair H, Norrie J, Nwaru BI, Pinnock H, Robertson D, Saha S, Salvi S, Schwarze J, Simpson C, Sridhar D, Stoddart A, Weller D, Whyte M, Worth A, Williams S, Yusuf O, Zumla A, Rudan I, RESPIRE Collaboration., J Glob Health 8(2), 2018
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