Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Roth GA, Abate D, Abate KH, Abay SM, Abbafati C, Abbasi N, Abbastabar H, Abd-Allah F, Abdela J, Abdelalim A, Abdollahpour I, et al. (2018)
The Lancet 392(10159): 1736-1788.

Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht| Englisch
 
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Roth, Gregory A; Abate, Degu; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen; Abay, Solomon M; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbasi, Nooshin; Abbastabar, Hedayat; Abd-Allah, Foad; Abdela, Jemal; Abdelalim, Ahmed; Abdollahpour, Ibrahim; Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi
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Abstract / Bemerkung
Background Global development goals increasingly rely on country-specific estimates for benchmarking a nation's progress. To meet this need, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 estimated global, regional, national, and, for selected locations, subnational cause-specific mortality beginning in the year 1980. Here we report an update to that study, making use of newly available data and improved methods. GBD 2017 provides a comprehensive assessment of cause-specific mortality for 282 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2017. Methods The causes of death database is composed of vital registration (VR), verbal autopsy (VA), registry, survey, police, and surveillance data. GBD 2017 added ten VA studies, 127 country-years of VR data, 502 cancer-registry country-years, and an additional surveillance country-year. Expansions of the GBD cause of death hierarchy resulted in 18 additional causes estimated for GBD 2017. Newly available data led to subnational estimates for five additional countries Ethiopia, Iran, New Zealand, Norway, and Russia. Deaths assigned International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for non-specific, implausible, or intermediate causes of death were reassigned to underlying causes by redistribution algorithms that were incorporated into uncertainty estimation. We used statistical modelling tools developed for GBD, including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODErn), to generate cause fractions and cause specific death rates for each location, year, age, and sex. Instead of using UN estimates as in previous versions, GBD 2017 independently estimated population size and fertility rate for all locations. Years of life lost (YLLs) were then calculated as the sum of each death multiplied by the standard life expectancy at each age. All rates reported here are age-standardised. Findings At the broadest grouping of causes of death (Level 1), non-communicable diseases (NC Ds) comprised the greatest fraction of deaths, contributing to 73.4% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 72.5-74.1) of total deaths in 2017, while communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes accounted for 186% (17.9-19.6), and injuries 8.0% (7.7-8.2). Total numbers of deaths from NCD causes increased from 2007 to 2017 by 22.7% (21.5-23.9), representing an additional 7.61 million (7. 20-8.01) deaths estimated in 2017 versus 2007. The death rate from NCDs decreased globally by 7.9% (7.08.8). The number of deaths for CMNN causes decreased by 222% (20.0-24.0) and the death rate by 31.8% (30.1-33.3). Total deaths from injuries increased by 2.3% (0-5-4-0) between 2007 and 2017, and the death rate from injuries decreased by 13.7% (12.2-15.1) to 57.9 deaths (55.9-59.2) per 100 000 in 2017. Deaths from substance use disorders also increased, rising from 284 000 deaths (268 000-289 000) globally in 2007 to 352 000 (334 000-363 000) in 2017. Between 2007 and 2017, total deaths from conflict and terrorism increased by 118.0% (88.8-148.6). A greater reduction in total deaths and death rates was observed for some CMNN causes among children younger than 5 years than for older adults, such as a 36.4% (32.2-40.6) reduction in deaths from lower respiratory infections for children younger than 5 years compared with a 33.6% (31.2-36.1) increase in adults older than 70 years. Globally, the number of deaths was greater for men than for women at most ages in 2017, except at ages older than 85 years. Trends in global YLLs reflect an epidemiological transition, with decreases in total YLLs from enteric infections, respirator}, infections and tuberculosis, and maternal and neonatal disorders between 1990 and 2017; these were generally greater in magnitude at the lowest levels of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). At the same time, there were large increases in YLLs from neoplasms and cardiovascular diseases. YLL rates decreased across the five leading Level 2 causes in all SDI quintiles. The leading causes of YLLs in 1990 neonatal disorders, lower respiratory infections, and diarrhoeal diseases were ranked second, fourth, and fifth, in 2017. Meanwhile, estimated YLLs increased for ischaemic heart disease (ranked first in 2017) and stroke (ranked third), even though YLL rates decreased. Population growth contributed to increased total deaths across the 20 leading Level 2 causes of mortality between 2007 and 2017. Decreases in the cause-specific mortality rate reduced the effect of population growth for all but three causes: substance use disorders, neurological disorders, and skin and subcutaneous diseases. Interpretation Improvements in global health have been unevenly distributed among populations. Deaths due to injuries, substance use disorders, armed conflict and terrorism, neoplasms, and cardiovascular disease are expanding threats to global health. For causes of death such as lower respiratory and enteric infections, more rapid progress occurred for children than for the oldest adults, and there is continuing disparity in mortality rates by sex across age groups. Reductions in the death rate of some common diseases are themselves slowing or have ceased, primarily for NCDs, and the death rate for selected causes has increased in the past decade. Copyright (C) 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Erscheinungsjahr
2018
Zeitschriftentitel
The Lancet
Band
392
Ausgabe
10159
Seite(n)
1736-1788
ISSN
0140-6736
Page URI
https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/record/2932378

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Roth GA, Abate D, Abate KH, et al. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 2018;392(10159):1736-1788.
Roth, G. A., Abate, D., Abate, K. H., Abay, S. M., Abbafati, C., Abbasi, N., Abbastabar, H., et al. (2018). Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet, 392(10159), 1736-1788. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32203-7
Roth, G. A., Abate, D., Abate, K. H., Abay, S. M., Abbafati, C., Abbasi, N., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdela, J., Abdelalim, A., et al. (2018). Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet 392, 1736-1788.
Roth, G.A., et al., 2018. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet, 392(10159), p 1736-1788.
G.A. Roth, et al., “Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017”, The Lancet, vol. 392, 2018, pp. 1736-1788.
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Fleming DM, Elliot AJ., Epidemiol. Infect. 136(7), 2007
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Estimates of global seasonal influenza-associated respiratory mortality: a modelling study.
Iuliano AD, Roguski KM, Chang HH, Muscatello DJ, Palekar R, Tempia S, Cohen C, Gran JM, Schanzer D, Cowling BJ, Wu P, Kyncl J, Ang LW, Park M, Redlberger-Fritz M, Yu H, Espenhain L, Krishnan A, Emukule G, van Asten L, Pereira da Silva S, Aungkulanon S, Buchholz U, Widdowson MA, Bresee JS; Global Seasonal Influenza-associated Mortality Collaborator Network, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Cheng PY, Dawood F, Foppa I, Olsen S, Haber M, Jeffers C, MacIntyre CR, Newall AT, Wood JG, Kundi M, Popow-Kraupp T, Ahmed M, Rahman M, Marinho F, Sotomayor Proschle CV, Vergara Mallegas N, Luzhao F, Sa L, Barbosa-Ramirez J, Sanchez DM, Gomez LA, Vargas XB, Acosta Herrera A, Llanes MJ, Fischer TK, Krause TG, Molbak K, Nielsen J, Trebbien R, Bruno A, Ojeda J, Ramos H, An der Heiden M, Del Carmen Castillo Signor L, Serrano CE, Bhardwaj R, Chadha M, Narayan V, Kosen S, Bromberg M, Glatman-Freedman A, Kaufman Z, Arima Y, Oishi K, Chaves S, Nyawanda B, Al-Jarallah RA, Kuri-Morales PA, Matus CR, Corona MEJ, Burmaa A, Darmaa O, Obtel M, Cherkaoui I, van den Wijngaard CC, van der Hoek W, Baker M, Bandaranayake D, Bissielo A, Huang S, Lopez L, Newbern C, Flem E, Groneng GM, Hauge S, de Cosio FG, de Molto Y, Castillo LM, Cabello MA, von Horoch M, Medina Osis J, Machado A, Nunes B, Rodrigues AP, Rodrigues E, Calomfirescu C, Lupulescu E, Popescu R, Popovici O, Bogdanovic D, Kostic M, Lazarevic K, Milosevic Z, Tiodorovic B, Chen M, Cutter J, Lee V, Lin R, Ma S, Cohen AL, Treurnicht F, Kim WJ, Delgado-Sanz C, de Mateo Ontanon S, Larrauri A, Leon IL, Vallejo F, Born R, Junker C, Koch D, Chuang JH, Huang WT, Kuo HW, Tsai YC, Bundhamcharoen K, Chittaganpitch M, Green HK, Pebody R, Goni N, Chiparelli H, Brammer L, Mustaquim D., Lancet 391(10127), 2017
PMID: 29248255
Pain as a global public health priority.
Goldberg DS, McGee SJ., BMC Public Health 11(), 2011
PMID: 21978149
The global obesity pandemic: shaped by global drivers and local environments.
Swinburn BA, Sacks G, Hall KD, McPherson K, Finegood DT, Moodie ML, Gortmaker SL., Lancet 378(9793), 2011
PMID: 21872749
National estimates of the prevalence of Alzheimer's disease in the United States.
Brookmeyer R, Evans DA, Hebert L, Langa KM, Heeringa SG, Plassman BL, Kukull WA., Alzheimers Dement 7(1), 2011
PMID: 21255744
Global burden of cancers attributable to infections in 2012: a synthetic analysis.
Plummer M, de Martel C, Vignat J, Ferlay J, Bray F, Franceschi S., Lancet Glob Health 4(9), 2016
PMID: 27470177
Establishing the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention: responding to Africa's health threats.
Nkengasong JN, Maiyegun O, Moeti M., Lancet Glob Health 5(3), 2017
PMID: 28108138
Fentanyls: Are we missing the signs? Highly potent and on the rise in Europe.
Mounteney J, Giraudon I, Denissov G, Griffiths P., Int. J. Drug Policy 26(7), 2015
PMID: 25976511
Measuring and mapping the global burden of antimicrobial resistance.
Hay SI, Rao PC, Dolecek C, Day NPJ, Stergachis A, Lopez AD, Murray CJL., BMC Med 16(1), 2018
PMID: 29860943
A global call from five countries to collaborate in antibiotic stewardship: united we succeed, divided we might fail.
Goff DA, Kullar R, Goldstein EJC, Gilchrist M, Nathwani D, Cheng AC, Cairns KA, Escandon-Vargas K, Villegas MV, Brink A, van den Bergh D, Mendelson M., Lancet Infect Dis 17(2), 2016
PMID: 27866945
Is the risk of Alzheimer's disease and dementia declining?
Langa KM., Alzheimers Res Ther 7(1), 2015
PMID: 25815064
Misuse of Novel Synthetic Opioids: A Deadly New Trend.
Prekupec MP, Mansky PA, Baumann MH., J Addict Med 11(4), 2017
PMID: 28590391
Use of electronic death certificates for influenza death surveillance.
Bancroft EA, Lee S., Emerging Infect. Dis. 20(1), 2014
PMID: 24377489
A two-decade comparison of prevalence of dementia in individuals aged 65 years and older from three geographical areas of England: results of the Cognitive Function and Ageing Study I and II.
Matthews FE, Arthur A, Barnes LE, Bond J, Jagger C, Robinson L, Brayne C; Medical Research Council Cognitive Function and Ageing Collaboration, Pagett E, Gao L, Barnes R, Warwick J, Mattison A, Arthur A, Baldwin C, Barnes LE, Bond J, Brayne C, Comas-Herera A, Dening T, Forster G, Harrison S, Ince PG, Jagger C, Lowe J, Macdonald AS, Matthews FE, Mccracken CF, McKeith IG, Moody C, Parry B, Robinson L, Stephan B, Wharton S, Wittenburg R, Woods B, Allen I., Lancet 382(9902), 2013
PMID: 23871492
Global burden of NAFLD and NASH: trends, predictions, risk factors and prevention.
Younossi Z, Anstee QM, Marietti M, Hardy T, Henry L, Eslam M, George J, Bugianesi E., Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 15(1), 2017
PMID: 28930295
Armed conflict as a public health problem.
Murray CJ, King G, Lopez AD, Tomijima N, Krug EG., BMJ 324(7333), 2002
PMID: 11834565
A Cluster-Randomized, Controlled Trial of a Simplified Multifaceted Management Program for Individuals at High Cardiovascular Risk (SimCard Trial) in Rural Tibet, China, and Haryana, India.
Tian M, Ajay VS, Dunzhu D, Hameed SS, Li X, Liu Z, Li C, Chen H, Cho K, Li R, Zhao X, Jindal D, Rawal I, Ali MK, Peterson ED, Ji J, Amarchand R, Krishnan A, Tandon N, Xu LQ, Wu Y, Prabhakaran D, Yan LL., Circulation 132(9), 2015
PMID: 26187183
Patchy progress on obesity prevention: emerging examples, entrenched barriers, and new thinking.
Roberto CA, Swinburn B, Hawkes C, Huang TT, Costa SA, Ashe M, Zwicker L, Cawley JH, Brownell KD., Lancet 385(9985), 2015
PMID: 25703111
Classifying the dead: toward a history of the registration of causes of death.
Alter GC, Carmichael AG., J Hist Med Allied Sci 54(2), 1999
PMID: 10453678
The Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS) of diarrheal disease in infants and young children in developing countries: epidemiologic and clinical methods of the case/control study.
Kotloff KL, Blackwelder WC, Nasrin D, Nataro JP, Farag TH, van Eijk A, Adegbola RA, Alonso PL, Breiman RF, Faruque AS, Saha D, Sow SO, Sur D, Zaidi AK, Biswas K, Panchalingam S, Clemens JD, Cohen D, Glass RI, Mintz ED, Sommerfelt H, Levine MM., Clin. Infect. Dis. 55 Suppl 4(), 2012
PMID: 23169936
Estimates of global and regional premature cardiovascular mortality in 2025.
Roth GA, Nguyen G, Forouzanfar MH, Mokdad AH, Naghavi M, Murray CJ., Circulation 132(13), 2015
PMID: 26408271
Global antibiotic consumption 2000 to 2010: an analysis of national pharmaceutical sales data.
Van Boeckel TP, Gandra S, Ashok A, Caudron Q, Grenfell BT, Levin SA, Laxminarayan R., Lancet Infect Dis 14(8), 2014
PMID: 25022435
Health Effects of Overweight and Obesity in 195 Countries over 25 Years.
GBD 2015 Obesity Collaborators, Afshin A, Forouzanfar MH, Reitsma MB, Sur P, Estep K, Lee A, Marczak L, Mokdad AH, Moradi-Lakeh M, Naghavi M, Salama JS, Vos T, Abate KH, Abbafati C, Ahmed MB, Al-Aly Z, Alkerwi A, Al-Raddadi R, Amare AT, Amberbir A, Amegah AK, Amini E, Amrock SM, Anjana RM, Arnlov J, Asayesh H, Banerjee A, Barac A, Baye E, Bennett DA, Beyene AS, Biadgilign S, Biryukov S, Bjertness E, Boneya DJ, Campos-Nonato I, Carrero JJ, Cecilio P, Cercy K, Ciobanu LG, Cornaby L, Damtew SA, Dandona L, Dandona R, Dharmaratne SD, Duncan BB, Eshrati B, Esteghamati A, Feigin VL, Fernandes JC, Furst T, Gebrehiwot TT, Gold A, Gona PN, Goto A, Habtewold TD, Hadush KT, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hay SI, Horino M, Islami F, Kamal R, Kasaeian A, Katikireddi SV, Kengne AP, Kesavachandran CN, Khader YS, Khang YH, Khubchandani J, Kim D, Kim YJ, Kinfu Y, Kosen S, Ku T, Defo BK, Kumar GA, Larson HJ, Leinsalu M, Liang X, Lim SS, Liu P, Lopez AD, Lozano R, Majeed A, Malekzadeh R, Malta DC, Mazidi M, McAlinden C, McGarvey ST, Mengistu DT, Mensah GA, Mensink GBM, Mezgebe HB, Mirrakhimov EM, Mueller UO, Noubiap JJ, Obermeyer CM, Ogbo FA, Owolabi MO, Patton GC, Pourmalek F, Qorbani M, Rafay A, Rai RK, Ranabhat CL, Reinig N, Safiri S, Salomon JA, Sanabria JR, Santos IS, Sartorius B, Sawhney M, Schmidhuber J, Schutte AE, Schmidt MI, Sepanlou SG, Shamsizadeh M, Sheikhbahaei S, Shin MJ, Shiri R, Shiue I, Roba HS, Silva DAS, Silverberg JI, Singh JA, Stranges S, Swaminathan S, Tabares-Seisdedos R, Tadese F, Tedla BA, Tegegne BS, Terkawi AS, Thakur JS, Tonelli M, Topor-Madry R, Tyrovolas S, Ukwaja KN, Uthman OA, Vaezghasemi M, Vasankari T, Vlassov VV, Vollset SE, Weiderpass E, Werdecker A, Wesana J, Westerman R, Yano Y, Yonemoto N, Yonga G, Zaidi Z, Zenebe ZM, Zipkin B, Murray CJL., N. Engl. J. Med. 377(1), 2017
PMID: 28604169
Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016-40 for 195 countries and territories.
Foreman KJ, Marquez N, Dolgert A, Fukutaki K, Fullman N, McGaughey M, Pletcher MA, Smith AE, Tang K, Yuan CW, Brown JC, Friedman J, He J, Heuton KR, Holmberg M, Patel DJ, Reidy P, Carter A, Cercy K, Chapin A, Douwes-Schultz D, Frank T, Goettsch F, Liu PY, Nandakumar V, Reitsma MB, Reuter V, Sadat N, Sorensen RJD, Srinivasan V, Updike RL, York H, Lopez AD, Lozano R, Lim SS, Mokdad AH, Vollset SE, Murray CJL., Lancet 392(10159), 2018
PMID: 30340847
Usefulness of mortality data in determining the geography and time trends of dementia.
Martyn CN, Pippard EC., J Epidemiol Community Health 42(2), 1988
PMID: 3146614
Recognizing Sepsis as a Global Health Priority - A WHO Resolution.
Reinhart K, Daniels R, Kissoon N, Machado FR, Schachter RD, Finfer S., N. Engl. J. Med. 377(5), 2017
PMID: 28658587
Use of and barriers to access to opioid analgesics: a worldwide, regional, and national study.
Berterame S, Erthal J, Thomas J, Fellner S, Vosse B, Clare P, Hao W, Johnson DT, Mohar A, Pavadia J, Samak AK, Sipp W, Sumyai V, Suryawati S, Toufiq J, Yans R, Mattick RP., Lancet 387(10028), 2016
PMID: 26852264
Quality improvement in public health: where are we now?
Riley WJ, Beitsch LM, Parsons HM, Moran JW., J Public Health Manag Pract 16(1), 2010
PMID: 20009634
Global Health Governance Challenges 2016 - Are We Ready?
Kickbusch I., Int J Health Policy Manag 5(6), 2016
PMID: 27285512
Quality comparison of electronic versus paper death certificates in France, 2010.
Lefeuvre D, Pavillon G, Aouba A, Lamarche-Vadel A, Fouillet A, Jougla E, Rey G., Popul Health Metr 12(1), 2014
PMID: 24533639
Burden of Clostridium difficile infection in the United States.
Lessa FC, Mu Y, Bamberg WM, Beldavs ZG, Dumyati GK, Dunn JR, Farley MM, Holzbauer SM, Meek JI, Phipps EC, Wilson LE, Winston LG, Cohen JA, Limbago BM, Fridkin SK, Gerding DN, McDonald LC., N. Engl. J. Med. 372(9), 2015
PMID: 25714160
Trends in the incidence and prevalence of Alzheimer's disease, dementia, and cognitive impairment in the United States.
Rocca WA, Petersen RC, Knopman DS, Hebert LE, Evans DA, Hall KS, Gao S, Unverzagt FW, Langa KM, Larson EB, White LR., Alzheimers Dement 7(1), 2011
PMID: 21255746
Improving estimates of children living with HIV from the Spectrum AIDS Impact Model.
Mahy M, Penazzato M, Ciaranello A, Mofenson L, Yianoutsos CT, Davies MA, Stover J., AIDS 31 Suppl 1(), 2017
PMID: 28301337
Civil registration and vital statistics: progress in the data revolution for counting and accountability.
AbouZahr C, de Savigny D, Mikkelsen L, Setel PW, Lozano R, Nichols E, Notzon F, Lopez AD., Lancet 386(10001), 2015
PMID: 25971224
Correlations and forecast of death tolls in the Syrian conflict.
Fujita K, Shinomoto S, Rocha LEC., Sci Rep 7(1), 2017
PMID: 29146926
Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national causes-of-death data.
Naghavi M, Makela S, Foreman K, O'Brien J, Pourmalek F, Lozano R., Popul Health Metr 8(), 2010
PMID: 20459720
Estimates of global and regional prevalence of neural tube defects for 2015: a systematic analysis.
Blencowe H, Kancherla V, Moorthie S, Darlison MW, Modell B., Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci. 1414(1), 2018
PMID: 29363759
National, regional and global mortality due to alcoholic cardiomyopathy in 2015.
Manthey J, Probst C, Rylett M, Rehm J., Heart 104(20), 2018
PMID: 29535230
Essential medicines for universal health coverage.
Wirtz VJ, Hogerzeil HV, Gray AL, Bigdeli M, de Joncheere CP, Ewen MA, Gyansa-Lutterodt M, Jing S, Luiza VL, Mbindyo RM, Moller H, Moucheraud C, Pecoul B, Rago L, Rashidian A, Ross-Degnan D, Stephens PN, Teerawattananon Y, 't Hoen EF, Wagner AK, Yadav P, Reich MR., Lancet 389(10067), 2016
PMID: 27832874
Changes in life expectancy in Russia in the mid-1990s.
Shkolnikov V, McKee M, Leon DA., Lancet 357(9260), 2001
PMID: 11289348
Injury-related fatalities in China: an under-recognised public-health problem.
Wang SY, Li YH, Chi GB, Xiao SY, Ozanne-Smith J, Stevenson M, Phillips MR., Lancet 372(9651), 2008
PMID: 18930527
Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting: the GATHER statement.
Stevens GA, Alkema L, Black RE, Boerma JT, Collins GS, Ezzati M, Grove JT, Hogan DR, Hogan MC, Horton R, Lawn JE, Marusic A, Mathers CD, Murray CJ, Rudan I, Salomon JA, Simpson PJ, Vos T, Welch V; (The GATHER Working Group)., Lancet 388(10062), 2016
PMID: 27371184
Trends and Patterns of Geographic Variation in Mortality From Substance Use Disorders and Intentional Injuries Among US Counties, 1980-2014.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Bertozzi-Villa A, Stubbs RW, Morozoff C, Shirude S, Unutzer J, Naghavi M, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL., JAMA 319(10), 2018
PMID: 29536097
Lessons from 40 years' surveillance of influenza in England and Wales.
Fleming DM, Elliot AJ., Epidemiol. Infect. 136(7), 2007
PMID: 18047750
Estimates of global seasonal influenza-associated respiratory mortality: a modelling study.
Iuliano AD, Roguski KM, Chang HH, Muscatello DJ, Palekar R, Tempia S, Cohen C, Gran JM, Schanzer D, Cowling BJ, Wu P, Kyncl J, Ang LW, Park M, Redlberger-Fritz M, Yu H, Espenhain L, Krishnan A, Emukule G, van Asten L, Pereira da Silva S, Aungkulanon S, Buchholz U, Widdowson MA, Bresee JS; Global Seasonal Influenza-associated Mortality Collaborator Network, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Cheng PY, Dawood F, Foppa I, Olsen S, Haber M, Jeffers C, MacIntyre CR, Newall AT, Wood JG, Kundi M, Popow-Kraupp T, Ahmed M, Rahman M, Marinho F, Sotomayor Proschle CV, Vergara Mallegas N, Luzhao F, Sa L, Barbosa-Ramirez J, Sanchez DM, Gomez LA, Vargas XB, Acosta Herrera A, Llanes MJ, Fischer TK, Krause TG, Molbak K, Nielsen J, Trebbien R, Bruno A, Ojeda J, Ramos H, An der Heiden M, Del Carmen Castillo Signor L, Serrano CE, Bhardwaj R, Chadha M, Narayan V, Kosen S, Bromberg M, Glatman-Freedman A, Kaufman Z, Arima Y, Oishi K, Chaves S, Nyawanda B, Al-Jarallah RA, Kuri-Morales PA, Matus CR, Corona MEJ, Burmaa A, Darmaa O, Obtel M, Cherkaoui I, van den Wijngaard CC, van der Hoek W, Baker M, Bandaranayake D, Bissielo A, Huang S, Lopez L, Newbern C, Flem E, Groneng GM, Hauge S, de Cosio FG, de Molto Y, Castillo LM, Cabello MA, von Horoch M, Medina Osis J, Machado A, Nunes B, Rodrigues AP, Rodrigues E, Calomfirescu C, Lupulescu E, Popescu R, Popovici O, Bogdanovic D, Kostic M, Lazarevic K, Milosevic Z, Tiodorovic B, Chen M, Cutter J, Lee V, Lin R, Ma S, Cohen AL, Treurnicht F, Kim WJ, Delgado-Sanz C, de Mateo Ontanon S, Larrauri A, Leon IL, Vallejo F, Born R, Junker C, Koch D, Chuang JH, Huang WT, Kuo HW, Tsai YC, Bundhamcharoen K, Chittaganpitch M, Green HK, Pebody R, Goni N, Chiparelli H, Brammer L, Mustaquim D., Lancet 391(10127), 2017
PMID: 29248255
Pain as a global public health priority.
Goldberg DS, McGee SJ., BMC Public Health 11(), 2011
PMID: 21978149
The global obesity pandemic: shaped by global drivers and local environments.
Swinburn BA, Sacks G, Hall KD, McPherson K, Finegood DT, Moodie ML, Gortmaker SL., Lancet 378(9793), 2011
PMID: 21872749
National estimates of the prevalence of Alzheimer's disease in the United States.
Brookmeyer R, Evans DA, Hebert L, Langa KM, Heeringa SG, Plassman BL, Kukull WA., Alzheimers Dement 7(1), 2011
PMID: 21255744
Global burden of cancers attributable to infections in 2012: a synthetic analysis.
Plummer M, de Martel C, Vignat J, Ferlay J, Bray F, Franceschi S., Lancet Glob Health 4(9), 2016
PMID: 27470177
Establishing the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention: responding to Africa's health threats.
Nkengasong JN, Maiyegun O, Moeti M., Lancet Glob Health 5(3), 2017
PMID: 28108138
Fentanyls: Are we missing the signs? Highly potent and on the rise in Europe.
Mounteney J, Giraudon I, Denissov G, Griffiths P., Int. J. Drug Policy 26(7), 2015
PMID: 25976511
Measuring and mapping the global burden of antimicrobial resistance.
Hay SI, Rao PC, Dolecek C, Day NPJ, Stergachis A, Lopez AD, Murray CJL., BMC Med 16(1), 2018
PMID: 29860943
A global call from five countries to collaborate in antibiotic stewardship: united we succeed, divided we might fail.
Goff DA, Kullar R, Goldstein EJC, Gilchrist M, Nathwani D, Cheng AC, Cairns KA, Escandon-Vargas K, Villegas MV, Brink A, van den Bergh D, Mendelson M., Lancet Infect Dis 17(2), 2016
PMID: 27866945
Is the risk of Alzheimer's disease and dementia declining?
Langa KM., Alzheimers Res Ther 7(1), 2015
PMID: 25815064
Misuse of Novel Synthetic Opioids: A Deadly New Trend.
Prekupec MP, Mansky PA, Baumann MH., J Addict Med 11(4), 2017
PMID: 28590391
Use of electronic death certificates for influenza death surveillance.
Bancroft EA, Lee S., Emerging Infect. Dis. 20(1), 2014
PMID: 24377489
A two-decade comparison of prevalence of dementia in individuals aged 65 years and older from three geographical areas of England: results of the Cognitive Function and Ageing Study I and II.
Matthews FE, Arthur A, Barnes LE, Bond J, Jagger C, Robinson L, Brayne C; Medical Research Council Cognitive Function and Ageing Collaboration, Pagett E, Gao L, Barnes R, Warwick J, Mattison A, Arthur A, Baldwin C, Barnes LE, Bond J, Brayne C, Comas-Herera A, Dening T, Forster G, Harrison S, Ince PG, Jagger C, Lowe J, Macdonald AS, Matthews FE, Mccracken CF, McKeith IG, Moody C, Parry B, Robinson L, Stephan B, Wharton S, Wittenburg R, Woods B, Allen I., Lancet 382(9902), 2013
PMID: 23871492
Global burden of NAFLD and NASH: trends, predictions, risk factors and prevention.
Younossi Z, Anstee QM, Marietti M, Hardy T, Henry L, Eslam M, George J, Bugianesi E., Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 15(1), 2017
PMID: 28930295
Armed conflict as a public health problem.
Murray CJ, King G, Lopez AD, Tomijima N, Krug EG., BMJ 324(7333), 2002
PMID: 11834565
A Cluster-Randomized, Controlled Trial of a Simplified Multifaceted Management Program for Individuals at High Cardiovascular Risk (SimCard Trial) in Rural Tibet, China, and Haryana, India.
Tian M, Ajay VS, Dunzhu D, Hameed SS, Li X, Liu Z, Li C, Chen H, Cho K, Li R, Zhao X, Jindal D, Rawal I, Ali MK, Peterson ED, Ji J, Amarchand R, Krishnan A, Tandon N, Xu LQ, Wu Y, Prabhakaran D, Yan LL., Circulation 132(9), 2015
PMID: 26187183
Patchy progress on obesity prevention: emerging examples, entrenched barriers, and new thinking.
Roberto CA, Swinburn B, Hawkes C, Huang TT, Costa SA, Ashe M, Zwicker L, Cawley JH, Brownell KD., Lancet 385(9985), 2015
PMID: 25703111
Classifying the dead: toward a history of the registration of causes of death.
Alter GC, Carmichael AG., J Hist Med Allied Sci 54(2), 1999
PMID: 10453678
The Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS) of diarrheal disease in infants and young children in developing countries: epidemiologic and clinical methods of the case/control study.
Kotloff KL, Blackwelder WC, Nasrin D, Nataro JP, Farag TH, van Eijk A, Adegbola RA, Alonso PL, Breiman RF, Faruque AS, Saha D, Sow SO, Sur D, Zaidi AK, Biswas K, Panchalingam S, Clemens JD, Cohen D, Glass RI, Mintz ED, Sommerfelt H, Levine MM., Clin. Infect. Dis. 55 Suppl 4(), 2012
PMID: 23169936
Estimates of global and regional premature cardiovascular mortality in 2025.
Roth GA, Nguyen G, Forouzanfar MH, Mokdad AH, Naghavi M, Murray CJ., Circulation 132(13), 2015
PMID: 26408271
Global antibiotic consumption 2000 to 2010: an analysis of national pharmaceutical sales data.
Van Boeckel TP, Gandra S, Ashok A, Caudron Q, Grenfell BT, Levin SA, Laxminarayan R., Lancet Infect Dis 14(8), 2014
PMID: 25022435
Health Effects of Overweight and Obesity in 195 Countries over 25 Years.
GBD 2015 Obesity Collaborators, Afshin A, Forouzanfar MH, Reitsma MB, Sur P, Estep K, Lee A, Marczak L, Mokdad AH, Moradi-Lakeh M, Naghavi M, Salama JS, Vos T, Abate KH, Abbafati C, Ahmed MB, Al-Aly Z, Alkerwi A, Al-Raddadi R, Amare AT, Amberbir A, Amegah AK, Amini E, Amrock SM, Anjana RM, Arnlov J, Asayesh H, Banerjee A, Barac A, Baye E, Bennett DA, Beyene AS, Biadgilign S, Biryukov S, Bjertness E, Boneya DJ, Campos-Nonato I, Carrero JJ, Cecilio P, Cercy K, Ciobanu LG, Cornaby L, Damtew SA, Dandona L, Dandona R, Dharmaratne SD, Duncan BB, Eshrati B, Esteghamati A, Feigin VL, Fernandes JC, Furst T, Gebrehiwot TT, Gold A, Gona PN, Goto A, Habtewold TD, Hadush KT, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hay SI, Horino M, Islami F, Kamal R, Kasaeian A, Katikireddi SV, Kengne AP, Kesavachandran CN, Khader YS, Khang YH, Khubchandani J, Kim D, Kim YJ, Kinfu Y, Kosen S, Ku T, Defo BK, Kumar GA, Larson HJ, Leinsalu M, Liang X, Lim SS, Liu P, Lopez AD, Lozano R, Majeed A, Malekzadeh R, Malta DC, Mazidi M, McAlinden C, McGarvey ST, Mengistu DT, Mensah GA, Mensink GBM, Mezgebe HB, Mirrakhimov EM, Mueller UO, Noubiap JJ, Obermeyer CM, Ogbo FA, Owolabi MO, Patton GC, Pourmalek F, Qorbani M, Rafay A, Rai RK, Ranabhat CL, Reinig N, Safiri S, Salomon JA, Sanabria JR, Santos IS, Sartorius B, Sawhney M, Schmidhuber J, Schutte AE, Schmidt MI, Sepanlou SG, Shamsizadeh M, Sheikhbahaei S, Shin MJ, Shiri R, Shiue I, Roba HS, Silva DAS, Silverberg JI, Singh JA, Stranges S, Swaminathan S, Tabares-Seisdedos R, Tadese F, Tedla BA, Tegegne BS, Terkawi AS, Thakur JS, Tonelli M, Topor-Madry R, Tyrovolas S, Ukwaja KN, Uthman OA, Vaezghasemi M, Vasankari T, Vlassov VV, Vollset SE, Weiderpass E, Werdecker A, Wesana J, Westerman R, Yano Y, Yonemoto N, Yonga G, Zaidi Z, Zenebe ZM, Zipkin B, Murray CJL., N. Engl. J. Med. 377(1), 2017
PMID: 28604169
Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016-40 for 195 countries and territories.
Foreman KJ, Marquez N, Dolgert A, Fukutaki K, Fullman N, McGaughey M, Pletcher MA, Smith AE, Tang K, Yuan CW, Brown JC, Friedman J, He J, Heuton KR, Holmberg M, Patel DJ, Reidy P, Carter A, Cercy K, Chapin A, Douwes-Schultz D, Frank T, Goettsch F, Liu PY, Nandakumar V, Reitsma MB, Reuter V, Sadat N, Sorensen RJD, Srinivasan V, Updike RL, York H, Lopez AD, Lozano R, Lim SS, Mokdad AH, Vollset SE, Murray CJL., Lancet 392(10159), 2018
PMID: 30340847
Usefulness of mortality data in determining the geography and time trends of dementia.
Martyn CN, Pippard EC., J Epidemiol Community Health 42(2), 1988
PMID: 3146614
Recognizing Sepsis as a Global Health Priority - A WHO Resolution.
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