Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 Lozano, Rafael Lozano Rafael Fullman, Nancy Fullman Nancy Abate, Degu Abate Degu Abay, Solomon M Abay Solomon M Abbafati, Cristiana Abbafati Cristiana Abbasi, Nooshin Abbasi Nooshin Abbastabar, Hedayat Abbastabar Hedayat Abd-Allah, Foad Abd-Allah Foad Abdela, Jemal Abdela Jemal Abdelalim, Ahmed Abdelalim Ahmed Abdel-Rahman, Omar Abdel-Rahman Omar Abdi, Alireza Abdi Alireza Abdollahpour, Ibrahim Abdollahpour Ibrahim Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader Rizwan Suliankatchi Abebe, Nebiyu Dereje Abebe Nebiyu Dereje Abebe, Zegeye Abebe Zegeye Abejie, Ayenew Negesse Abejie Ayenew Negesse Abera, Semaw F Abera Semaw F Abil, Olifan Zewdie Abil Olifan Zewdie Aboyans, Victor Aboyans Victor Abraha, Haftom Niguse Abraha Haftom Niguse Abrham, Aklilu Roba Abrham Aklilu Roba Abu-Raddad, Laith Jamal Abu-Raddad Laith Jamal Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen Me Abu-Rmeileh Niveen Me Abyu, Gebre Y Abyu Gebre Y Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kokou Accrombessi Manfred Mario Kokou Acharya, Dilaram Acharya Dilaram Acharya, Pawan Acharya Pawan Adamu, Abdu A Adamu Abdu A Adebayo, Oladimeji M Adebayo Oladimeji M Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji Isaac Akinkunmi Adedoyin, Rufus Adesoji Adedoyin Rufus Adesoji Adekanmbi, Victor Adekanmbi Victor Adetokunboh, Olatunji O Adetokunboh Olatunji O Adhena, Beyene Meressa Adhena Beyene Meressa Adhikari, Tara Ballav Adhikari Tara Ballav Adib, Mina G Adib Mina G Adou, Arsène Kouablan Adou Arsène Kouablan Adsuar, Jose C Adsuar Jose C Afarideh, Mohsen Afarideh Mohsen Afshari, Mahdi Afshari Mahdi Afshin, Ashkan Afshin Ashkan Agarwal, Gina Agarwal Gina Aghayan, Sargis Aghasi Aghayan Sargis Aghasi Agius, Dominic Agius Dominic Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Agrawal Sutapa Ahmadi, Alireza Ahmadi Alireza Ahmadi, Mehdi Ahmadi Mehdi Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmadieh Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Beshir Ahmed Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Sayem Ahmed Sayem Akalu, Temesgen Yihunie Akalu Temesgen Yihunie Akanda, Ali S Akanda Ali S Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil Akbari Mohammad Esmaeil Akibu, Mohammed Akibu Mohammed Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola Akinyemi Rufus Olusola Akinyemiju, Tomi Akinyemiju Tomi Akseer, Nadia Akseer Nadia Alahdab, Fares Alahdab Fares Al-Aly, Ziyad Al-Aly Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam Khurshid Alam, Tahiya Alam Tahiya Albujeer, Ammar Albujeer Ammar Alebel, Animut Alebel Animut Alene, Kefyalew Addis Alene Kefyalew Addis Al-Eyadhy, Ayman Al-Eyadhy Ayman Alhabib, Samia Alhabib Samia Ali, Raghib Ali Raghib Alijanzadeh, Mehran Alijanzadeh Mehran Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alizadeh-Navaei Reza Aljunid, Syed Mohamed Aljunid Syed Mohamed Alkerwi, Ala'a Alkerwi Ala'a Alla, François Alla François Allebeck, Peter Allebeck Peter Allen, Christine A Allen Christine A Almasi, Ali Almasi Ali Al-Maskari, Fatma Al-Maskari Fatma Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M Alonso, Jordi Alonso Jordi Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M Al-Raddadi Rajaa M Alsharif, Ubai Alsharif Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid Altirkawi Khalid Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Alvis-Guzman Nelson Amare, Azmeraw T Amare Azmeraw T Amenu, Kebede Amenu Kebede Amini, Erfan Amini Erfan Ammar, Walid Ammar Walid Anber, Nahla Hamed Anber Nahla Hamed Anderson, Jason A Anderson Jason A Andrei, Catalina Liliana Andrei Catalina Liliana Androudi, Sofia Androudi Sofia Animut, Megbaru Debalkie Animut Megbaru Debalkie Anjomshoa, Mina Anjomshoa Mina Ansari, Hossein Ansari Hossein Ansariadi, Ansariadi Ansariadi Ansariadi Ansha, Mustafa Geleto Ansha Mustafa Geleto Antonio, Carl Abelardo T Antonio Carl Abelardo T Anwari, Palwasha Anwari Palwasha Appiah, Lambert Tetteh Appiah Lambert Tetteh Aremu, Olatunde Aremu Olatunde Areri, Habtamu Abera Areri Habtamu Abera Ärnlöv, Johan Ärnlöv Johan Arora, Monika Arora Monika Aryal, Krishna K Aryal Krishna K Asayesh, Hamid Asayesh Hamid Asfaw, Ephrem Tsegay Asfaw Ephrem Tsegay Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal Asgedom Solomon Weldegebreal Asghar, Rana Jawad Asghar Rana Jawad Assadi, Reza Assadi Reza Ataro, Zerihun Ataro Zerihun Atique, Suleman Atique Suleman Atre, Sachin R Atre Sachin R Atteraya, Madhu Sudhan Atteraya Madhu Sudhan Ausloos, Marcel Ausloos Marcel Avila-Burgos, Leticia Avila-Burgos Leticia Avokpaho, Euripide F G A Avokpaho Euripide F G A Awasthi, Ashish Awasthi Ashish Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla Beatriz Paulina Ayele, Henok Tadesse Ayele Henok Tadesse Ayele, Yohanes Ayele Yohanes Ayer, Rakesh Ayer Rakesh Azarpazhooh, Mahmoud Reza Azarpazhooh Mahmoud Reza Azzopardi, Peter S Azzopardi Peter S Azzopardi-Muscat, Natasha Azzopardi-Muscat Natasha Babalola, Tesleem Kayode Babalola Tesleem Kayode Babazadeh, Arefeh Babazadeh Arefeh Badali, Hamid Badali Hamid Badawi, Alaa Badawi Alaa Balakrishnan, Kalpana Balakrishnan Kalpana Bali, Ayele Geleto Bali Ayele Geleto Banach, Maciej Banach Maciej Banerjee, Amitava Banerjee Amitava Banoub, Joseph Adel Mattar Banoub Joseph Adel Mattar Banstola, Amrit Banstola Amrit Barac, Aleksandra Barac Aleksandra Barboza, Miguel A Barboza Miguel A Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn Barker-Collo Suzanne Lyn Bärnighausen, Till Winfried Bärnighausen Till Winfried Barrero, Lope H Barrero Lope H Barthelemy, Celine M Barthelemy Celine M Bassat, Quique Bassat Quique Basu, Arindam Basu Arindam Basu, Sanjay Basu Sanjay Battista, Robert J Battista Robert J Baune, Bernhard T Baune Bernhard T Baynes, Habtamu Wondifraw Baynes Habtamu Wondifraw Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi Shahrzad Bedi, Neeraj Bedi Neeraj Beghi, Ettore Beghi Ettore Behzadifar, Masoud Behzadifar Masoud Behzadifar, Meysam Behzadifar Meysam Béjot, Yannick Béjot Yannick Bekele, Bayu Begashaw Bekele Bayu Begashaw Belachew, Abate Bekele Belachew Abate Bekele Belay, Aregawi Gebreyesus Belay Aregawi Gebreyesus Belay, Saba Abraham Belay Saba Abraham Belay, Yihalem Abebe Belay Yihalem Abebe Bell, Michelle L Bell Michelle L Bello, Aminu K Bello Aminu K Bennett, Derrick A Bennett Derrick A Bensenor, Isabela M Bensenor Isabela M Benzian, Habib Benzian Habib Berhane, Adugnaw Berhane Adugnaw Berhe, Abadi Kidanemariam Berhe Abadi Kidanemariam Berman, Adam E Berman Adam E Bernabe, Eduardo Bernabe Eduardo Bernstein, Robert S Bernstein Robert S Bertolacci, Gregory J Bertolacci Gregory J Beuran, Mircea Beuran Mircea Beyranvand, Tina Beyranvand Tina Bhala, Neeraj Bhala Neeraj Bhalla, Ashish Bhalla Ashish Bhansali, Anil Bhansali Anil Bhattarai, Suraj Bhattarai Suraj Bhaumik, Soumyadeep Bhaumik Soumyadeep Bhutta, Zulfiqar A Bhutta Zulfiqar A Biadgo, Belete Biadgo Belete Biehl, Molly H Biehl Molly H Bijani, Ali Bijani Ali Bikbov, Boris Bikbov Boris Bililign, Nigus Bililign Nigus Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed Muhammad Shahdaat Birlik, Sait Mentes Birlik Sait Mentes Birungi, Charles Birungi Charles Bisanzio, Donal Bisanzio Donal Biswas, Tuhin Biswas Tuhin Bitew, Helen Bitew Helen Bizuneh, Hailemichael Bizuneh Hailemichael Bjertness, Espen Bjertness Espen Bobasa, Eshetu Mulisa Bobasa Eshetu Mulisa Boufous, Soufiane Boufous Soufiane Bourne, Rupert Bourne Rupert Bozorgmehr, Kayvan Bozorgmehr Kayvan Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi Nicola Luigi Brainin, Michael Brainin Michael Brant, Luisa C Brant Luisa C Brauer, Michael Brauer Michael Brazinova, Alexandra Brazinova Alexandra Breitborde, Nicholas J K Breitborde Nicholas J K Briant, Paul Svitil Briant Paul Svitil Britton, Gabrielle Britton Gabrielle Brugha, Traolach Brugha Traolach Bukhman, Gene Bukhman Gene Busse, Reinhard Busse Reinhard Butt, Zahid A Butt Zahid A Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado Lucero Callender, Charlton SKH Callender Charlton SKH Campos-Nonato, Ismael R Campos-Nonato Ismael R Campuzano Rincon, Julio Cesar Campuzano Rincon Julio Cesar Cano, Jorge Cano Jorge Car, Josip Car Josip Car, Mate Car Mate Cárdenas, Rosario Cárdenas Rosario Carrero, Juan J Carrero Juan J Carter, Austin Carter Austin Carvalho, Félix Carvalho Félix Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela Carlos A Castillo Rivas, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas Jacqueline Castro, Franz Castro Franz Causey, Kate Causey Kate Çavlin, Alanur Çavlin Alanur Cercy, Kelly M Cercy Kelly M Cerin, Ester Cerin Ester Chaiah, Yazan Chaiah Yazan Chalek, Julian Chalek Julian Chang, Hsing-Yi Chang Hsing-Yi Chang, Jung-Chen Chang Jung-Chen Chattopadhyay, Aparajita Chattopadhyay Aparajita Chattu, Vijay Kumar Chattu Vijay Kumar Chaturvedi, Pankaj Chaturvedi Pankaj Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang Peggy Pei-Chia Chin, Ken Lee Chin Ken Lee Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa Vesper Hichilombwe Chitheer, Abdulaal Chitheer Abdulaal Choi, Jee-Young J Choi Jee-Young J Chowdhury, Rajiv Chowdhury Rajiv Christensen, Hanne Christensen Hanne Christopher, Devasahayam J Christopher Devasahayam J Chung, Sheng-Chia Chung Sheng-Chia Cicuttini, Flavia M Cicuttini Flavia M Ciobanu, Liliana G Ciobanu Liliana G Cirillo, Massimo Cirillo Massimo Claro, Rafael M Claro Rafael M Claßen, Thomas Khaled Dwayne Claßen Thomas Khaled Dwayne Cohen, Aaron J Cohen Aaron J Collado-Mateo, Daniel Collado-Mateo Daniel Cooper, Cyrus Cooper Cyrus Cooper, Leslie Trumbull Cooper Leslie Trumbull Cornaby, Leslie Cornaby Leslie Cortinovis, Monica Cortinovis Monica Costa, Megan Costa Megan Cousin, Ewerton Cousin Ewerton Cromwell, Elizabeth A Cromwell Elizabeth A Crowe, Christopher Stephen Crowe Christopher Stephen Cunningham, Matthew Cunningham Matthew Daba, Alemneh Kabeta Daba Alemneh Kabeta Dadi, Abel Fekadu Dadi Abel Fekadu Dandona, Lalit Dandona Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona Rakhi Dang, Anh Kim Dang Anh Kim Dargan, Paul I Dargan Paul I Daryani, Ahmad Daryani Ahmad Das, Siddharth K Das Siddharth K Das Gupta, Rajat Das Gupta Rajat das Neves, José das Neves José Dasa, Tamirat Tesfaye Dasa Tamirat Tesfaye Dash, Aditya Prasad Dash Aditya Prasad Davis, Adrian C Davis Adrian C Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil Davitoiu Dragos Virgil Davletov, Kairat Davletov Kairat Dayama, Anand Dayama Anand de Courten, Barbora de Courten Barbora De Leo, Diego De Leo Diego De Neve, Jan-Walter De Neve Jan-Walter De Steur, Hans De Steur Hans Degefa, Meaza Girma Degefa Meaza Girma Degenhardt, Louisa Degenhardt Louisa Degfie, Tizta Tilahun Degfie Tizta Tilahun Deiparine, Selina Deiparine Selina Dellavalle, Robert P Dellavalle Robert P Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam Demoz Gebre Teklemariam Demtsu, Balem Demtsu Balem Denova-Gutiérrez, Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez Edgar Deribe, Kebede Deribe Kebede Dervenis, Nikolaos Dervenis Nikolaos Dessie, Getenet Ayalew Dessie Getenet Ayalew Dey, Subhojit Dey Subhojit Dharmaratne, Samath D Dharmaratne Samath D Dhimal, Meghnath Dhimal Meghnath Dicker, Daniel Dicker Daniel Dinberu, Mesfin Tadese Dinberu Mesfin Tadese Ding, Eric L Ding Eric L Djalalinia, Shirin Djalalinia Shirin Do, Huyen Phuc Do Huyen Phuc Dokova, Klara Dokova Klara Doku, David Teye Doku David Teye Douwes-Schultz, Dirk Douwes-Schultz Dirk Driscoll, Tim Robert Driscoll Tim Robert Duan, Leilei Duan Leilei Dubey, Manisha Dubey Manisha Dubljanin, Eleonora Dubljanin Eleonora Duken, Eyasu Ejeta Duken Eyasu Ejeta Duncan, Bruce B Duncan Bruce B Duraes, Andre R Duraes Andre R Ebrahimpour, Soheil Ebrahimpour Soheil Edvardsson, David Edvardsson David El Bcheraoui, Charbel El Bcheraoui Charbel Eldrenkamp, Erika Eldrenkamp Erika El-Khatib, Ziad El-Khatib Ziad Elyazar, Iqbal RF Elyazar Iqbal RF Enayati, Ahmadali Enayati Ahmadali Endries, Aman Yesuf Endries Aman Yesuf Eshrati, Babak Eshrati Babak Eskandarieh, Sharareh Eskandarieh Sharareh Esteghamati, Alireza Esteghamati Alireza Esteghamati, Sadaf Esteghamati Sadaf Estep, Kara Estep Kara Fakhar, Mahdi Fakhar Mahdi Fakhim, Hamed Fakhim Hamed Fanzo, Jessica Fanzo Jessica Faramarzi, Mahbobeh Faramarzi Mahbobeh Fareed, Mohammad Fareed Mohammad Farhadi, Farzaneh Farhadi Farzaneh Farid, Talha A Farid Talha A Farinha, Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha Carla Sofia e Sá Farioli, Andrea Farioli Andrea Faro, Andre Faro Andre Farvid, Maryam S Farvid Maryam S Farzadfar, Farshad Farzadfar Farshad Farzaei, Mohammad Hosein Farzaei Mohammad Hosein Farzam, Hossein Farzam Hossein Fazaeli, Ali Akbar Fazaeli Ali Akbar Fazeli, Mir Sohail Fazeli Mir Sohail Feigin, Valery L Feigin Valery L Feigl, Andrea B Feigl Andrea B Fekadu, Wubalem Fekadu Wubalem Feldman, Rachel Feldman Rachel Fentahun, Netsanet Fentahun Netsanet Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad Fernandes, Eduarda Fernandes Eduarda Fernandes, Joao C Fernandes Joao C Feyissa, Garumma Tolu Feyissa Garumma Tolu Fijabi, Daniel Obadare Fijabi Daniel Obadare Filip, Irina Filip Irina Finegold, Samuel Finegold Samuel Finger, Jonas David Finger Jonas David Fischer, Florian Fischer Florian Fitzmaurice, Christina Fitzmaurice Christina Flor, Luisa Sorio Flor Luisa Sorio Foigt, Nataliya A Foigt Nataliya A Foreman, Kyle J Foreman Kyle J Frank, Tahvi D Frank Tahvi D Franklin, Richard Charles Franklin Richard Charles Fukumoto, Takeshi Fukumoto Takeshi Fukutaki, Kai Fukutaki Kai Fuller, John E Fuller John E Fürst, Thomas Fürst Thomas Furtado, João M Furtado João M Gakidou, Emmanuela Gakidou Emmanuela Gallus, Silvano Gallus Silvano Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho Gankpe Fortune Gbetoho Gansevoort, Ron T Gansevoort Ron T Garcia, Ana Cristina Garcia Ana Cristina Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto L Garcia-Basteiro Alberto L Garcia-Gordillo, Miguel A Garcia-Gordillo Miguel A Gardner, William M Gardner William M Gebre, Abadi Kahsu Gebre Abadi Kahsu Gebre, Teshome Gebre Teshome Gebregergs, Gebremedhin Berhe Gebregergs Gebremedhin Berhe Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot Tsegaye Tewelde Gebremedhin, Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin Amanuel Tesfay Gebremichael, Bereket Gebremichael Bereket Gebremichael, Teklu Gebrehiwo Gebremichael Teklu Gebrehiwo Gelano, Tilayie Feto Gelano Tilayie Feto Geleijnse, Johanna M Geleijnse Johanna M Geramo, Yilma Chisha Dea Geramo Yilma Chisha Dea Getachew, Sefonias Getachew Sefonias Gething, Peter W Gething Peter W Gezae, Kebede Embaye Gezae Kebede Embaye Ghadami, Mohammad Rasoul Ghadami Mohammad Rasoul Ghadimi, Reza Ghadimi Reza Ghadiri, Keyghobad Ghadiri Keyghobad Ghasemi-Kasman, Maryam Ghasemi-Kasman Maryam Ghiasvand, Hesam Ghiasvand Hesam Ghimire, Mamata Ghimire Mamata Ghoshal, Aloke Gopal Ghoshal Aloke Gopal Giampaoli, Simona Giampaoli Simona Gill, Paramjit Singh Gill Paramjit Singh Gill, Tiffany K Gill Tiffany K Giussani, Giorgia Giussani Giorgia Gnedovskaya, Elena V Gnedovskaya Elena V Goldberg, Ellen M Goldberg Ellen M Goli, Srinivas Goli Srinivas Gona, Philimon N Gona Philimon N Goodridge, Amador Goodridge Amador Gopalani, Sameer Vali Gopalani Sameer Vali Gorman, Taren M Gorman Taren M Goto, Atsushi Goto Atsushi Goulart, Alessandra C Goulart Alessandra C Goulart, Bárbara Niegia Garcia Goulart Bárbara Niegia Garcia Grada, Ayman Grada Ayman Griswold, Max G Griswold Max G Grosso, Giuseppe Grosso Giuseppe Gugnani, Harish Chander C Gugnani Harish Chander C Guillemin, Francis Guillemin Francis Guimaraes, Andre Luiz Sena Guimaraes Andre Luiz Sena Guo, Yuming Guo Yuming Gupta, Prakash C Gupta Prakash C Gupta, Rahul Gupta Rahul Gupta, Rajeev Gupta Rajeev Gupta, Tanush Gupta Tanush Ha, Giang Hai Ha Giang Hai Haagsma, Juanita A Haagsma Juanita A Hachinski, Vladimir Hachinski Vladimir Hafezi-Nejad, Nima Hafezi-Nejad Nima Haghparast Bidgoli, Hassan Haghparast Bidgoli Hassan Hagos, Tekleberhan B Hagos Tekleberhan B Haile, Michael Tamene Haile Michael Tamene Hailegiyorgis, Tewodros Tesfa Hailegiyorgis Tewodros Tesfa Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu Gessessew Bugssa Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Arya Haj-Mirzaian Arya Hamadeh, Randah R Hamadeh Randah R Hamidi, Samer Hamidi Samer Hankey, Graeme J Hankey Graeme J Harb, Hilda L Harb Hilda L Harikrishnan, Sivadasanpillai Harikrishnan Sivadasanpillai Haririan, Hamidreza Haririan Hamidreza Haro, Josep Maria Haro Josep Maria Hasan, Mehedi Hasan Mehedi Hassankhani, Hadi Hassankhani Hadi Hassen, Hamid Yimam Hassen Hamid Yimam Havmoeller, Rasmus Havmoeller Rasmus Hawley, Caitlin N Hawley Caitlin N Hay, Simon I Hay Simon I He, Yihua He Yihua Hedayatizadeh-Omran, Akbar Hedayatizadeh-Omran Akbar Hegazy, Mohamed I Hegazy Mohamed I Heibati, Behzad Heibati Behzad Heidari, Behnam Heidari Behnam Heidari, Mohsen Heidari Mohsen Hendrie, Delia Hendrie Delia Henok, Andualem Henok Andualem Heredia-Pi, Ileana Heredia-Pi Ileana Herteliu, Claudiu Herteliu Claudiu Heydarpour, Behzad Heydarpour Behzad Heydarpour, Fatemeh Heydarpour Fatemeh Heydarpour, Sousan Heydarpour Sousan Hibstu, Desalegn T Hibstu Desalegn T Híjar, Martha Híjar Martha Hoek, Hans W Hoek Hans W Hoffman, Daniel J Hoffman Daniel J Hole, Michael K Hole Michael K Homaie Rad, Enayatollah Homaie Rad Enayatollah Hoogar, Praveen Hoogar Praveen Horita, Nobuyuki Horita Nobuyuki Hosgood, H Dean Hosgood H Dean Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa Hosseini Seyed Mostafa Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh Mehdi Hostiuc, Mihaela Hostiuc Mihaela Hostiuc, Sorin Hostiuc Sorin Hotez, Peter J Hotez Peter J Hoy, Damian G Hoy Damian G Hsairi, Mohamed Hsairi Mohamed Hsiao, Thomas Hsiao Thomas Hu, Guoqing Hu Guoqing Huang, John J Huang John J Hughes, Caitlyn Hughes Caitlyn Huynh, Chantal K Huynh Chantal K Igumbor, Ehimario U Igumbor Ehimario U Ikeda, Chad Thomas Ikeda Chad Thomas Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi Olayinka Stephen Iqbal, Usman Iqbal Usman Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvine, Caleb Mackay Salpeter Irvine Caleb Mackay Salpeter Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islami, Farhad Islami Farhad Ivers, Rebecca Q Ivers Rebecca Q Izadi, Neda Izadi Neda Jacobsen, Kathryn H Jacobsen Kathryn H Jahangiry, Leila Jahangiry Leila Jahanmehr, Nader Jahanmehr Nader Jain, Sudhir Kumar Jain Sudhir Kumar Jakovljevic, Mihajlo Jakovljevic Mihajlo Jalu, Moti Tolera Jalu Moti Tolera Jamal, Amr A Jamal Amr A James, Spencer L James Spencer L Jassal, Simerjot K Jassal Simerjot K Javanbakht, Mehdi Javanbakht Mehdi Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke Achala Upendra Jeemon, Panniyammakal Jeemon Panniyammakal Jha, Ravi Prakash Jha Ravi Prakash Jha, Vivekanand Jha Vivekanand Ji, John S Ji John S Johnson, Catherine O Johnson Catherine O Johnson, Sarah C Johnson Sarah C Jonas, Jost B Jonas Jost B Jonnagaddala, Jitendra Jonnagaddala Jitendra Jorjoran Shushtari, Zahra Jorjoran Shushtari Zahra Joshi, Ankur Joshi Ankur Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak Jacek Jerzy Jungari, Suresh Banayya Jungari Suresh Banayya Jürisson, Mikk Jürisson Mikk K, Madhanraj K Madhanraj Kabir, Zubair Kabir Zubair Kadel, Rajendra Kadel Rajendra Kahsay, Amaha Kahsay Amaha Kahssay, Molla Kahssay Molla Kalani, Rizwan Kalani Rizwan Kapil, Umesh Kapil Umesh Karami, Manoochehr Karami Manoochehr Karami Matin, Behzad Karami Matin Behzad Karanikolos, Marina Karanikolos Marina Karimi, Narges Karimi Narges Karimi, Seyed M Karimi Seyed M Karimi-Sari, Hamidreza Karimi-Sari Hamidreza Kasaeian, Amir Kasaeian Amir Kassa, Dessalegn H Kassa Dessalegn H Kassa, Getachew Mullu Kassa Getachew Mullu Kassa, Tesfaye Dessale Kassa Tesfaye Dessale Kassa, Zemenu Yohannes Kassa Zemenu Yohannes Kassebaum, Nicholas J Kassebaum Nicholas J Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi Srinivasa Vittal Kaul, Anil Kaul Anil Kawakami, Norito Kawakami Norito Kazemi, Zhila Kazemi Zhila Karyani, Ali Kazemi Karyani Ali Kazemi Kazi, Dhruv Satish Kazi Dhruv Satish KC, Prakash KC Prakash Kebede, Seifu Kebede Seifu Keiyoro, Peter Njenga Keiyoro Peter Njenga Kemmer, Laura Kemmer Laura Kemp, Grant Rodgers Kemp Grant Rodgers Kengne, Andre Pascal Kengne Andre Pascal Keren, Andre Keren Andre Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran Chandrasekharan Nair Khader, Yousef Saleh Khader Yousef Saleh Khafaei, Behzad Khafaei Behzad Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie Morteza Abdullatif Khajavi, Alireza Khajavi Alireza Khalid, Nauman Khalid Nauman Khalil, Ibrahim A Khalil Ibrahim A Khan, Ejaz Ahmad Khan Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb Khan Muhammad Shahzeb Khan, Muhammad Ali Khan Muhammad Ali Khang, Young-Ho Khang Young-Ho Khanna, Tripti Khanna Tripti Khater, Mona M Khater Mona M Khatony, Alireza Khatony Alireza Khazaeipour, Zahra Khazaeipour Zahra Khazaie, Habibolah Khazaie Habibolah Khoja, Abdullah T Khoja Abdullah T Khosravi, Ardeshir Khosravi Ardeshir Khosravi, Mohammad Hossein Khosravi Mohammad Hossein Khubchandani, Jagdish Khubchandani Jagdish Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A Kiadaliri Aliasghar A Kiarie, Helen W Kiarie Helen W Kibret, Getiye D Kibret Getiye D Kiirithio, Daniel N Kiirithio Daniel N Kim, Daniel Kim Daniel Kim, Jun Y Kim Jun Y Kim, Young-Eun Kim Young-Eun Kim, Yun Jin Kim Yun Jin Kimokoti, Ruth W Kimokoti Ruth W Kinfu, Yohannes Kinfu Yohannes Kinra, Sanjay Kinra Sanjay Kisa, Adnan Kisa Adnan Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna Kissimova-Skarbek Katarzyna Kissoon, Niranjan Kissoon Niranjan Kivimäki, Mika Kivimäki Mika Kocarnik, Jonathan M Kocarnik Jonathan M Kochhar, Sonali Kochhar Sonali Kokubo, Yoshihiro Kokubo Yoshihiro Kolola, Tufa Kolola Tufa Kopec, Jacek A Kopec Jacek A Kosek, Margaret N Kosek Margaret N Kosen, Soewarta 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Sebastian Vollmer Sebastian Vollset, Stein Emil Vollset Stein Emil Vos, Theo Vos Theo Vosoughi, Kia Vosoughi Kia Vujcic, Isidora S Vujcic Isidora S Wagner, Gregory R Wagner Gregory R Wagnew, Fasil Shiferaw Wagnew Fasil Shiferaw Waheed, Yasir Waheed Yasir Walson, Judd L Walson Judd L Wang, Yanping Wang Yanping Wang, Yuan-Pang Wang Yuan-Pang Wassie, Molla Mesele Wassie Molla Mesele Weiderpass, Elisabete Weiderpass Elisabete Weintraub, Robert G Weintraub Robert G Weiss, Jordan Weiss Jordan Weldegebreal, Fitsum Weldegebreal Fitsum Weldegwergs, Kidu Gidey Weldegwergs Kidu Gidey Werdecker, Andrea Werdecker Andrea Werkneh, Adhena Ayaliew Werkneh Adhena Ayaliew West, T Eoin West T Eoin Westerman, Ronny Westerman Ronny Whisnant, Joanna L Whisnant Joanna L Whiteford, Harvey A Whiteford Harvey A Widecka, Justyna Widecka Justyna Widecka, Katarzyna Widecka Katarzyna Wijeratne, Tissa Wijeratne Tissa Wilner, Lauren B Wilner Lauren B Winkler, Andrea Sylvia Winkler Andrea Sylvia Wiyeh, Alison B Wiyeh Alison B Wiysonge, Charles Shey Wiysonge Charles Shey Wolde, Haileab Fekadu Wolde Haileab Fekadu Wolfe, Charles D A Wolfe Charles D A Wu, Shouling Wu Shouling Xavier, Denis Xavier Denis Xu, Gelin Xu Gelin Xu, Rixing Xu Rixing Yadollahpour, Ali Yadollahpour Ali Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari Seyed Hossein Yakob, Bereket Yakob Bereket Yamada, Tomohide Yamada Tomohide Yan, Lijing L Yan Lijing L Yano, Yuichiro Yano Yuichiro Yaseri, Mehdi Yaseri Mehdi Yasin, Yasin Jemal Yasin Yasin Jemal Ye, Pengpeng Ye Pengpeng Yearwood, Jamal A Yearwood Jamal A Yeshaneh, Alex Yeshaneh Alex Yimer, Ebrahim M Yimer Ebrahim M Yip, Paul Yip Paul Yirsaw, Biruck Desalegn Yirsaw Biruck Desalegn Yisma, Engida Yisma Engida Yonemoto, Naohiro Yonemoto Naohiro Yonga, Gerald Yonga Gerald Yoon, Seok-Jun Yoon Seok-Jun Yotebieng, Marcel Yotebieng Marcel Younis, Mustafa Z Younis Mustafa Z Yousefifard, Mahmoud Yousefifard Mahmoud Yu, Chuanhua Yu Chuanhua Zaman, Sojib Bin Zaman Sojib Bin Zamani, Mohammad Zamani Mohammad Zare, Zohreh Zare Zohreh Zavala-Arciniega, Luis Zavala-Arciniega Luis Zegeye, Desalegn Tegabu Zegeye Desalegn Tegabu Zegeye, Elias Asfaw Zegeye Elias Asfaw Zeleke, Ayalew Jejaw Zeleke Ayalew Jejaw Zendehdel, Kazem Zendehdel Kazem Zerfu, Taddese Alemu Zerfu Taddese Alemu Zhang, Anthony Lin Zhang Anthony Lin Zhang, Xueying Zhang Xueying Zhou, Maigeng Zhou Maigeng Zhu, Jun Zhu Jun Zimsen, Stephanie R M Zimsen Stephanie R M Zodpey, Sanjay Zodpey Sanjay Zoeckler, Leo Zoeckler Leo Zucker, Inbar Zucker Inbar Zuhlke, Liesel Joanna J Zuhlke Liesel Joanna J Lim, Stephen S Lim Stephen S Murray, Christopher J L Murray Christopher J L Background Efforts to establish the 2015 baseline and monitor early implementation of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) highlight both great potential for and threats to improving health by 2030. To fully deliver on the SDG aim of "leaving no one behind", it is increasingly important to examine the health-related SDGs beyond national-level estimates. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017), we measured progress on 41 of 52 health -related SDG indicators and estimated the health-related SDG index for 195 countries and territories for the period 1990-2017, projected indicators to 2030, and analysed global attainment. Methods We measured progress on 41 health-related S DG indicators from 1990 to 2017, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2016 (new indicators were health worker density, sexual violence by non-intimate partners, population census status, and prevalence of physical and sexual violence [reported separately]). We also improved the measurement of several previously reported indicators. We constructed national-level estimates and, for a subset of health-related SDGs, examined indicator-level differences by sex and Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile. We also did subnational assessments of performance for selected countries. To construct the health related SDG index, we transformed the value for each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 2.5th percentile and 100 as the 97.5th percentile of 1000 draws calculated from 1990 to 2030, and took the geometric mean of the scaled indicators by target. To generate projections through 2030, we used a forecasting framework that drew estimates from the broader GBD study and used weighted averages of indicator-specific and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2017 to inform future estimates. We assessed attainment of indicators with defined targets in two ways: first, using mean values projected for 2030, and then using the probability of attainment in 2030 calculated from 1000 draws. We also did a global attainment analysis of the feasibility of attaining SDG targets on the basis of past trends. Using 2015 global averages of indicators with defined SDG targets, we calculated the global annualised rates of change required from 2015 to 2030 to meet these targets, and then identified in what percentiles the required global annualised rates of change fell in the distribution of country-level rates of change from 1990 to 2015. We took the mean of these global percentile values across indicators and applied the past rate of change at this mean global percentile to all health-related SDG indicators, irrespective of target definition, to estimate the equivalent 2030 global average value and percentage change from 2015 to 2030 for each indicator. Findings The global median health-related SDG index in 2017 was 59.4 (IQR 35.4-67.3), ranging from a low of 11.6 (95% uncertainty interval 9.6-14.0) to a high of 84.9 (83.1-86.7). SDG index values in countries assessed at the subnational level varied substantially particularly in China and India, although scores in Japan and the UK were more homogeneous. Indicators also varied by SDI quintile and sex, with males having worse outcomes than females for non-communicable disease (NCD) mortality, alcohol use, and smoking, among others. Most countries were projected to have a higher health-related SDG index in 2030 than in 2017, while country-level probabilities of attainment by 2030 varied widely by indicator. Under-5 mortality, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality ratio, and malaria indicators had the most countries with at least 95% probability of target attainment. Other indicators, including NCD mortality and suicide mortality, had no countries projected to meet corresponding SDG targets on the basis of projected mean values for 2030 but showed some probability of attaimnent by 2030. For some indicators, including child malnutrition, several infectious diseases, and most violence measures, the annualised rates of change required to meet SDG targets far exceeded the pace of progress achieved by any country in the recent past. We found that applying the mean global annualised rate of change to indicators without defined targets would equate to about 19% and 22% reductions in global smoking and alcohol consumption, respectively; a 47% decline in adolescent birth rates; and a more than 85% increase in health worker density per 1000 population by 2030. Interpretation The GBD study offers a unique, robust platform for monitoring the health -related SDGs across demographic and geographic dimensions. Our findings underscore the importance of increased collection and analysis of disaggregated data and highlight where more deliberate design or targeting of interventions could accelerate progress in attaining the SDGs. Current projections show that many health -related SDG indicators, NCDs, NCD-related risks, and violence -related indicators will require a concerted shift away from what might have driven past gains curative interventions in the case of NCDs towards multisectoral, prevention -oriented policy action and investments to achieve SDG aims. Notably, several targets, if they are to be met by 2030, demand a pace of progress that no country has achieved in the recent past. The future is fundamentally uncertain, and no model can fully predict what breakthroughs or events might alter the course of the S DGs. What is clear is that our actions or inaction today will ultimately dictate how close the world, collectively, can get to leaving no one behind by 2030. 392 10159 2091-2138 2091-2138 Elsevier 2018 application/pdf 1