Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model
van der Hoog S, Dawid H (2015) Working Papers in Economics and Management; 01-2015.
Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics.
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| Veröffentlicht | Englisch
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Abstract / Bemerkung
This paper explores how different credit market- and banking regulations affect business fluctuations. Capital adequacy- and reserve requirements are analysed for their effect on the
risk of severe downturns. We develop an agent-based macroeconomic model in which finan-
cial contagion is transmitted through balance sheets in an endogenous firm-bank network,
that incorporates firm bankruptcy and heterogeneity among banks to capture the fact that
contagion effects are bank-specific. Using concepts from the empirical literature to identify
amplitude and duration of recessions and expansions we show that more stringent liquidity
regulations are best to dampen output fluctuations and prevent severe downturns. Under
such regulations both leverage along expansions and amplitude of recessions become smaller.
More stringent capital requirements induce larger output fluctuations and lead to deeper,
more fragile recessions. This indicates that the capital adequacy requirement is pro-cyclical
and therefore not advisable as a measure to prevent financial contagion.
Stichworte
Financial Crises;
Credit market and banking regulations;
Financial Fragility;
Agent-Based Macroeconomics.
Erscheinungsjahr
2015
Serientitel
Working Papers in Economics and Management
Band
01-2015
Seite(n)
52
ISSN
2196-2723
Page URI
https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/record/2915552
Zitieren
van der Hoog S, Dawid H. Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model. Working Papers in Economics and Management. Vol 01-2015. Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics; 2015.
van der Hoog, S., & Dawid, H. (2015). Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model (Working Papers in Economics and Management, 01-2015). Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics. doi:10.4119/unibi/2915552
van der Hoog, Sander, and Dawid, Herbert. 2015. Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model. Vol. 01-2015. Working Papers in Economics and Management. Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics.
van der Hoog, S., and Dawid, H. (2015). Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model. Working Papers in Economics and Management, 01-2015, Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics.
van der Hoog, S., & Dawid, H., 2015. Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model, Working Papers in Economics and Management, no.01-2015, Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics.
S. van der Hoog and H. Dawid, Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model, Working Papers in Economics and Management, vol. 01-2015, Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics, 2015.
van der Hoog, S., Dawid, H.: Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model. Working Papers in Economics and Management, 01-2015. Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics, Bielefeld (2015).
van der Hoog, Sander, and Dawid, Herbert. Bubbles, Crashes and the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Stock-Flow Consistent Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model. Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics, 2015. Working Papers in Economics and Management. 01-2015.
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