Spatial variation in the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh, 2014

Susewind R, Dhattiwala R (2014)
Economic & Political Weekly 49(39): 99-110.

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Journal Article | Published | English
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In this paper, we propose to reconcile the controversial debate on Muslim "vote banks" in India by shifting the spatial focus from state-wide assessments to the level of constituencies. At the example of Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh in the 2014 general elections, and using an innovative booth-level ecological inference model, we show that Muslims might indeed vote en bloc for or against certain parties, but they tend to do so in a much more localised way than previously assumed. While public Muslim support for the BJP did not translate into electoral support in most places, there are important exceptions to this trend – and at least in the case of Uttar Pradesh, their support for competing parties followed a fairly complex spatial pattern. We further explore this spatial variation in Muslim vote pattern by looking at the moderating impact of minority concentration, violent communal history, and ethnic co-ordination and conclude with a call for more disaggregated research.
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Susewind R, Dhattiwala R. Spatial variation in the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh, 2014. Economic & Political Weekly. 2014;49(39):99-110.
Susewind, R., & Dhattiwala, R. (2014). Spatial variation in the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh, 2014. Economic & Political Weekly, 49(39), 99-110.
Susewind, R., and Dhattiwala, R. (2014). Spatial variation in the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh, 2014. Economic & Political Weekly 49, 99-110.
Susewind, R., & Dhattiwala, R., 2014. Spatial variation in the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh, 2014. Economic & Political Weekly, 49(39), p 99-110.
R. Susewind and R. Dhattiwala, “Spatial variation in the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh, 2014”, Economic & Political Weekly, vol. 49, 2014, pp. 99-110.
Susewind, R., Dhattiwala, R.: Spatial variation in the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh, 2014. Economic & Political Weekly. 49, 99-110 (2014).
Susewind, Raphael, and Dhattiwala, Raheel. “Spatial variation in the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh, 2014”. Economic & Political Weekly 49.39 (2014): 99-110.
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