26 Publikationen
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2024 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2985771Demand for live betting: An analysis using state‐space modelsPUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
Ötting, Marius, Demand for live betting: An analysis using state‐space models. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry (). , 2024 -
2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2983980Are Betting Markets Inefficient? Evidence From Simulations and Real DataPUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.)
Winkelmann, David, Are Betting Markets Inefficient? Evidence From Simulations and Real Data. Journal of Sports Economics (). , 2023 -
2023 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2982760State-switching decision treesPUB
Adam, Timo, State-switching decision trees. Proceedings of the 37th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Part II (). Dortmund, 2023 -
2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Im Druck | PUB-ID: 2978064Bettors’ reaction to match dynamics: Evidence from in-game bettingPUB | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
Michels, Rouven, Bettors’ reaction to match dynamics: Evidence from in-game betting. European Journal of Operational Research (). , 2023 -
2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2947369Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space modelsPUB | DOI | WoS
Mews, Sina, Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models. Statistical Modelling (). , 2022 -
2022 | Konferenzband | PUB-ID: 2978259Staking and Losing in Live Betting Markets: How Bookmakers ProfitPUB
Deutscher, Christian, Staking and Losing in Live Betting Markets: How Bookmakers Profit. (). , 2022 -
2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2962681Football tracking data: a copula-based hidden Markov model for classification of tactics in footballPUB | DOI | WoS
Ötting, Marius, Football tracking data: a copula-based hidden Markov model for classification of tactics in football. Annals of Operations Research (). , 2022 -
2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2953327A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in footballPUB | PDF | DOI | WoS
Ötting, Marius, A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis (). , 2021 -
2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2956272Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketballPUB | PDF | DOI | WoS
Mews, Sina, Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis 107 (1-2). , 2021 -
2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2951197Bookmakers’ mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 breakPUB | DOI | WoS | arXiv
Winkelmann, David, Bookmakers’ mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 break. Applied Economics 53 (26). , 2021 -
2021 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2978258Patterns of betting behavior for news in live betting marketsPUB
Deutscher, Christian, Patterns of betting behavior for news in live betting markets. 12th ESEA Conference on Sport Economics – Book of Abstracts (). , 2021 -
2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2957740Predicting play calls in the National Football League using hidden Markov modelsPUB | DOI | WoS
Ötting, Marius, Predicting play calls in the National Football League using hidden Markov models. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 32 (4). , 2021 -
2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2955697A regularized hidden Markov model for analyzing the 'hot shoe' in footballPUB | DOI | WoS
Ötting, Marius, A regularized hidden Markov model for analyzing the 'hot shoe' in football. Statistical Modelling (). , 2021 -
2020 | Preprint | PUB-ID: 2955083Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space modelsPUB | arXiv
Mews, Sina, Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models. arXiv:2010.14883 (). , 2020 -
2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941474Performance under pressure in skill tasks: An analysis of professional dartsPUB | Dateien verfügbar | DOI | WoS | PubMed | Europe PMC
Ötting, Marius, Performance under pressure in skill tasks: An analysis of professional darts. PLOS ONE 15 (2). , 2020 -
2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2945090Short and long-term biases in European football pre-game betting marketsPUB | PDF | DOI
Winkelmann, David, Short and long-term biases in European football pre-game betting markets. 06-2020 (). Bielefeld, 2020 -
2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2949467Betting Market Inefficiencies in European Football – Bookmakers’ Mispricing or Pure Chance?PUB | PDF | DOI
Winkelmann, David, Betting Market Inefficiencies in European Football – Bookmakers’ Mispricing or Pure Chance?. 06-2020 (). Bielefeld, 2020 -
2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2939171The hot hand in professional dartsPUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
Ötting, Marius, The hot hand in professional darts. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A 183 (2). , 2020 -
2020 | Bielefelder E-Dissertation | PUB-ID: 2945724Sports statistics in the data age: betting fraud detection and performance evaluationPUB | PDF | DOI
Ötting, Marius, Sports statistics in the data age: betting fraud detection and performance evaluation. (). Bielefeld, 2020 -
2019 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2935395The Demand for English Premier League Soccer BettingPUB | DOI | WoS
Deutscher, Christian, The Demand for English Premier League Soccer Betting. JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS 20 (4). , 2019 -
2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941679Modeling interactions between individuals using coupled hidden Markov modelsPUB
Pohle, Jennifer Marie, Modeling interactions between individuals using coupled hidden Markov models. Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I (). , 2019 -
2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941678A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in footballPUB
Ötting, Marius, A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football. Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I (). , 2019 -
2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2919323Betting market inefficiencies are short-lived in German professional footballPUB | DOI | WoS
Deutscher, Christian, Betting market inefficiencies are short-lived in German professional football. APPLIED ECONOMICS 50 (30). , 2018 -
2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2932997Integrating multiple data sources in match-fixing warning systemsPUB | DOI | WoS
Ötting, Marius, Integrating multiple data sources in match-fixing warning systems. Statistical Modelling 18 (5-6). , 2018 -
2018 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2933003The hot hand in professional dartsPUB
Ötting, Marius, The hot hand in professional darts. Proceedings of the 33rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling, Vol. 1 (). , 2018 -
2017 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2913895Detecting Match-Fixing in the Italian Serie B Using Flexible RegressionPUB
Ötting, Marius, Detecting Match-Fixing in the Italian Serie B Using Flexible Regression. Proceedings of the 32nd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume II (). , 2017