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• [26]
  

  2024 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2985771

  Ötting, M., et al., 2024. Demand for live betting: An analysis using state‐space models. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
   
• [25]
  

  2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2983980

  Winkelmann, D., et al., 2023. Are Betting Markets Inefficient? Evidence From Simulations and Real Data. Journal of Sports Economics.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.)
   
• [24]
  

  2023 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2982760

  Adam, T., Ötting, M., & Michels, R., 2023. State-switching decision trees. In E. Bergherr, A. Groll, & A. Mayr, eds. Proceedings of the 37th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Part II. Dortmund: TU Dortmund, pp. 321-325.

  PUB
   
• [23]
  

  2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Im Druck | PUB-ID: 2978064

  Michels, R., Ötting, M., & Langrock, R., In Press. Bettors’ reaction to match dynamics: Evidence from in-game betting. European Journal of Operational Research.

  PUB | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
   
• [22]
  

  2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2947369

  Mews, S., et al., 2022. Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models. Statistical Modelling, : 1471082X211065785.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [21]
  

  2022 | Konferenzband | PUB-ID: 2978259

  C. Deutscher, et al., eds., 2022. Staking and Losing in Live Betting Markets: How Bookmakers Profit,

  PUB
   
• [20]
  

  2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2962681

  Ötting, M., & Karlis, D., 2022. Football tracking data: a copula-based hidden Markov model for classification of tactics in football. Annals of Operations Research .

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [19]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2953327

  Ötting, M., Langrock, R., & Maruotti, A., 2021. A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | WoS
   
• [18]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2956272

  Mews, S., & Ötting, M., 2021. Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 107(1-2), p 313–326.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | WoS
   
• [17]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2951197

  Winkelmann, D., Deutscher, C., & Ötting, M., 2021. Bookmakers’ mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 break. Applied Economics, 53(26), p 3054-3064.

  PUB | DOI | WoS | arXiv
   
• [16]
  

  2021 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2978258

  Deutscher, C., et al., 2021. Patterns of betting behavior for news in live betting markets. In C. Deutscher & P. Wicker, eds. 12th ESEA Conference on Sport Economics – Book of Abstracts. pp. 33-35.

  PUB
   
• [15]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2957740

  Ötting, M., 2021. Predicting play calls in the National Football League using hidden Markov models. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 32(4), p 535-545.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [14]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2955697

  Ötting, M., & Groll, A., 2021. A regularized hidden Markov model for analyzing the 'hot shoe' in football. Statistical Modelling, : 1471082X211008014.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [13]
  

  2020 | Preprint | PUB-ID: 2955083

  Mews, S., et al., 2020. Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models. arXiv:2010.14883.

  PUB | arXiv
   
• [12]
  

  2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941474

  Ötting, M., et al., 2020. Performance under pressure in skill tasks: An analysis of professional darts. PLOS ONE, 15(2): e0228870.

  PUB | Dateien verfügbar | DOI | WoS | PubMed | Europe PMC
   
• [11]
  

  2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2945090

  Winkelmann, D., Ötting, M., & Deutscher, C., 2020. Short and long-term biases in European football pre-game betting markets, Universität Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics and Management, no.06-2020, Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics.

  PUB | PDF | DOI
   
• [10]
  

  2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2949467

  Winkelmann, D., Ötting, M., & Deutscher, C., 2020. Betting Market Inefficiencies in European Football – Bookmakers’ Mispricing or Pure Chance?, Universität Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics and Management, no.06-2020, Aktual. Version, Dec. 2020., Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics.

  PUB | PDF | DOI
   
• [9]
  

  2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2939171

  Ötting, M., et al., 2020. The hot hand in professional darts. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, 183(2), p 565-580.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
   
• [8]
  

  2020 | Bielefelder E-Dissertation | PUB-ID: 2945724

  Ötting, M., 2020. Sports statistics in the data age: betting fraud detection and performance evaluation, Bielefeld: Universität Bielefeld.

  PUB | PDF | DOI
   
• [7]
  

  2019 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2935395

  Deutscher, C., et al., 2019. The Demand for English Premier League Soccer Betting. JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS, 20(4), p 556-579.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [6]
  

  2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941679

  Pohle, J.M., et al., 2019. Modeling interactions between individuals using coupled hidden Markov models. In Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I. pp. 57-61.

  PUB
   
• [5]
  

  2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941678

  Ötting, M., Langrock, R., & Maruotti, A., 2019. A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football. In Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I. pp. 125-129.

  PUB
   
• [4]
  

  2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2919323

  Deutscher, C., Frick, B., & Ötting, M., 2018. Betting market inefficiencies are short-lived in German professional football. APPLIED ECONOMICS, 50(30), p 3240-3246.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [3]
  

  2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2932997

  Ötting, M., Langrock, R., & Deutscher, C., 2018. Integrating multiple data sources in match-fixing warning systems. Statistical Modelling, 18(5-6), p 483-504.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [2]
  

  2018 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2933003

  Ötting, M., et al., 2018. The hot hand in professional darts. In Proceedings of the 33rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling, Vol. 1. pp. 231-236.

  PUB
   
• [1]
  

  2017 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2913895

  Ötting, M., Deutscher, C., & Langrock, R., 2017. Detecting Match-Fixing in the Italian Serie B Using Flexible Regression. In M. Grzegorczyk, & G. Ceoldo, eds. Proceedings of the 32nd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume II. pp. 243-246.

  PUB