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• [26]
  

  2024 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2985771

  Ötting, Marius, Michels, Rouven, Langrock, Roland, and Deutscher, Christian. 2024. “Demand for live betting: An analysis using state‐space models”. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
   
• [25]
  

  2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2983980

  Winkelmann, David, Ötting, Marius, Deutscher, Christian, and Makarewicz, Tomasz Aleksander. 2023. “Are Betting Markets Inefficient? Evidence From Simulations and Real Data”. Journal of Sports Economics.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.)
   
• [24]
  

  2023 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2982760

  Adam, Timo, Ötting, Marius, and Michels, Rouven. 2023. “State-switching decision trees”. In Proceedings of the 37th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Part II, ed. Elisabeth Bergherr, Andreas Groll, and Andreas Mayr, 321-325. Dortmund: TU Dortmund.

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• [23]
  

  2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Im Druck | PUB-ID: 2978064

  Michels, Rouven, Ötting, Marius, and Langrock, Roland. In Press. “Bettors’ reaction to match dynamics: Evidence from in-game betting”. European Journal of Operational Research.

  PUB | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
   
• [22]
  

  2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2947369

  Mews, Sina, Langrock, Roland, Ötting, Marius, Yaqine, Houda, and Reinecke, Jost. 2022. “ Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models”. Statistical Modelling: 1471082X211065785.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [21]
  

  2022 | Konferenzband | PUB-ID: 2978259

  Deutscher, Christian, Ötting, Marius, Reade, James, Singleton, Carl, and 13th Conference of the European Sport Ecnomics Association - Book of Abstracts, eds. 2022. Staking and Losing in Live Betting Markets: How Bookmakers Profit.

  PUB
   
• [20]
  

  2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2962681

  Ötting, Marius, and Karlis, Dimitris. 2022. “Football tracking data: a copula-based hidden Markov model for classification of tactics in football”. Annals of Operations Research .

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [19]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2953327

  Ötting, Marius, Langrock, Roland, and Maruotti, Antonello. 2021. “A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football”. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | WoS
   
• [18]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2956272

  Mews, Sina, and Ötting, Marius. 2021. “Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball”. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis 107 (1-2): 313–326.

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• [17]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2951197

  Winkelmann, David, Deutscher, Christian, and Ötting, Marius. 2021. “Bookmakers’ mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 break”. Applied Economics 53 (26): 3054-3064.

  PUB | DOI | WoS | arXiv
   
• [16]
  

  2021 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2978258

  Deutscher, Christian, Michels, Rouven, Ötting, Marius, and Langrock, Roland. 2021. “Patterns of betting behavior for news in live betting markets”. In 12th ESEA Conference on Sport Economics – Book of Abstracts, ed. Christian Deutscher and Pamela Wicker, 33-35.

  PUB
   
• [15]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2957740

  Ötting, Marius. 2021. “Predicting play calls in the National Football League using hidden Markov models”. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 32 (4): 535-545.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [14]
  

  2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2955697

  Ötting, Marius, and Groll, Andreas. 2021. “A regularized hidden Markov model for analyzing the 'hot shoe' in football”. Statistical Modelling: 1471082X211008014.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [13]
  

  2020 | Preprint | PUB-ID: 2955083

  Mews, Sina, Langrock, Roland, Ötting, Marius, Yaqine, Houda, and Reinecke, Jost. 2020. “Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models”. arXiv:2010.14883.

  PUB | arXiv
   
• [12]
  

  2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941474

  Ötting, Marius, Deutscher, Christian, Schneemann, Sandra, Langrock, Roland, Gehrmann, Sebastian, and Scholten, Hendrik. 2020. “Performance under pressure in skill tasks: An analysis of professional darts”. PLOS ONE 15 (2): e0228870.

  PUB | Dateien verfügbar | DOI | WoS | PubMed | Europe PMC
   
• [11]
  

  2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2945090

  Winkelmann, David, Ötting, Marius, and Deutscher, Christian. 2020. Short and long-term biases in European football pre-game betting markets. Vol. 06-2020. Universität Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics and Management. Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics.

  PUB | PDF | DOI
   
• [10]
  

  2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2949467

  Winkelmann, David, Ötting, Marius, and Deutscher, Christian. 2020. Betting Market Inefficiencies in European Football – Bookmakers’ Mispricing or Pure Chance?. Aktual. Version, Dec. 2020. Vol. 06-2020. Universität Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics and Management. Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics.

  PUB | PDF | DOI
   
• [9]
  

  2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2939171

  Ötting, Marius, Langrock, Roland, Deutscher, Christian, and Leos-Barajas, Vianey. 2020. “The hot hand in professional darts”. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A 183 (2): 565-580.

  PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
   
• [8]
  

  2020 | Bielefelder E-Dissertation | PUB-ID: 2945724

  Ötting, Marius. 2020. Sports statistics in the data age: betting fraud detection and performance evaluation. Bielefeld: Universität Bielefeld.

  PUB | PDF | DOI
   
• [7]
  

  2019 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2935395

  Deutscher, Christian, Ötting, Marius, Schneemann, Sandra, and Scholten, Hendrik. 2019. “The Demand for English Premier League Soccer Betting”. JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS 20 (4): 556-579.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [6]
  

  2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941679

  Pohle, Jennifer Marie, Ötting, Marius, Jensen, Frants H., and Langrock, Roland. 2019. “Modeling interactions between individuals using coupled hidden Markov models”. In Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I, 57-61.

  PUB
   
• [5]
  

  2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941678

  Ötting, Marius, Langrock, Roland, and Maruotti, Antonello. 2019. “A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football”. In Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I, 125-129.

  PUB
   
• [4]
  

  2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2919323

  Deutscher, Christian, Frick, Bernd, and Ötting, Marius. 2018. “Betting market inefficiencies are short-lived in German professional football”. APPLIED ECONOMICS 50 (30): 3240-3246.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [3]
  

  2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2932997

  Ötting, Marius, Langrock, Roland, and Deutscher, Christian. 2018. “Integrating multiple data sources in match-fixing warning systems”. Statistical Modelling 18 (5-6): 483-504.

  PUB | DOI | WoS
   
• [2]
  

  2018 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2933003

  Ötting, Marius, Langrock, Roland, Deutscher, Christian, and Leos-Barajas, Vianey. 2018. “The hot hand in professional darts”. In Proceedings of the 33rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling, Vol. 1, 231-236.

  PUB
   
• [1]
  

  2017 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2913895

  Ötting, Marius, Deutscher, Christian, and Langrock, Roland. 2017. “Detecting Match-Fixing in the Italian Serie B Using Flexible Regression”. In Proceedings of the 32nd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume II, ed. Marco Grzegorczyk, and Giacomo Ceoldo, 243-246.

  PUB