26 Publikationen
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2024 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2985771Ötting, M., Michels, R., Langrock, R., & Deutscher, C. (2024). Demand for live betting: An analysis using state‐space models. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry. https://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.2836
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2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2983980Winkelmann, D., Ötting, M., Deutscher, C., & Makarewicz, T. A. (2023). Are Betting Markets Inefficient? Evidence From Simulations and Real Data. Journal of Sports Economics. https://doi.org/10.1177/15270025231204997
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2023 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2982760Adam, T., Ötting, M., & Michels, R. (2023). State-switching decision trees. In E. Bergherr, A. Groll, & A. Mayr (Eds.), Proceedings of the 37th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Part II (pp. 321-325). Dortmund: TU Dortmund.
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2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Im Druck | PUB-ID: 2978064Michels, R., Ötting, M., & Langrock, R. (In Press). Bettors’ reaction to match dynamics: Evidence from in-game betting. European Journal of Operational Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2023.04.006
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2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2947369Mews, S., Langrock, R., Ötting, M., Yaqine, H., & Reinecke, J. (2022). Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models. Statistical Modelling, 1471082X211065785. https://doi.org/10.1177/1471082X211065785
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2022 | Konferenzband | PUB-ID: 2978259Deutscher C., Ötting M., Reade J., Singleton C., & 13th Conference of the European Sport Ecnomics Association - Book of Abstracts (Eds.) (2022). Staking and Losing in Live Betting Markets: How Bookmakers Profit, 130-132.
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2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2962681Ötting, M., & Karlis, D. (2022). Football tracking data: a copula-based hidden Markov model for classification of tactics in football. Annals of Operations Research . https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-022-04660-0
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2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2953327Ötting, M., Langrock, R., & Maruotti, A. (2021). A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10182-021-00395-8
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2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2956272Mews, S., & Ötting, M. (2021). Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 107(1-2), 313–326. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10182-021-00410-y
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2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2951197Winkelmann, D., Deutscher, C., & Ötting, M. (2021). Bookmakers’ mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 break. Applied Economics, 53(26), 3054-3064. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2021.1873234
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2021 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2978258Deutscher, C., Michels, R., Ötting, M., & Langrock, R. (2021). Patterns of betting behavior for news in live betting markets. In C. Deutscher & P. Wicker (Eds.), 12th ESEA Conference on Sport Economics – Book of Abstracts (pp. 33-35).
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2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2957740Ötting, M. (2021). Predicting play calls in the National Football League using hidden Markov models. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 32(4), 535-545. https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpab005
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2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2955697Ötting, M., & Groll, A. (2021). A regularized hidden Markov model for analyzing the 'hot shoe' in football. Statistical Modelling, 1471082X211008014. https://doi.org/10.1177/1471082X211008014
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2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941474Ötting, M., Deutscher, C., Schneemann, S., Langrock, R., Gehrmann, S., & Scholten, H. (2020). Performance under pressure in skill tasks: An analysis of professional darts. PLOS ONE, 15(2), e0228870. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0228870
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2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2945090Winkelmann, D., Ötting, M., & Deutscher, C. (2020). Short and long-term biases in European football pre-game betting markets (Universität Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics and Management, 06-2020). Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics. https://doi.org/10.4119/unibi/2945090
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2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2949467Winkelmann, D., Ötting, M., & Deutscher, C. (2020). Betting Market Inefficiencies in European Football – Bookmakers’ Mispricing or Pure Chance? (Universität Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics and Management, 06-2020) Aktual. Version, Dec. 2020. Bielefeld: Bielefeld University, Department of Business Administration and Economics. doi:10.4119/unibi/2949467
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2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2939171Ötting, M., Langrock, R., Deutscher, C., & Leos-Barajas, V. (2020). The hot hand in professional darts. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, 183(2), 565-580. doi:10.1111/rssa.12527
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2019 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2935395Deutscher, C., Ötting, M., Schneemann, S., & Scholten, H. (2019). The Demand for English Premier League Soccer Betting. JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS, 20(4), 556-579. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002518794803
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2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941679Pohle, J. M., Ötting, M., Jensen, F. H., & Langrock, R. (2019). Modeling interactions between individuals using coupled hidden Markov models. Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I, 57-61.
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2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941678Ötting, M., Langrock, R., & Maruotti, A. (2019). A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football. Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I, 125-129.
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2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2919323Deutscher, C., Frick, B., & Ötting, M. (2018). Betting market inefficiencies are short-lived in German professional football. APPLIED ECONOMICS, 50(30), 3240-3246. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418082
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2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2932997Ötting, M., Langrock, R., & Deutscher, C. (2018). Integrating multiple data sources in match-fixing warning systems. Statistical Modelling, 18(5-6), 483-504. https://doi.org/10.1177/1471082x18804933
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2018 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2933003Ötting, M., Langrock, R., Deutscher, C., & Leos-Barajas, V. (2018). The hot hand in professional darts. Proceedings of the 33rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling, Vol. 1, 231-236.
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2017 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2913895Ötting, M., Deutscher, C., & Langrock, R. (2017). Detecting Match-Fixing in the Italian Serie B Using Flexible Regression. In M. Grzegorczyk, & G. Ceoldo (Eds.), Proceedings of the 32nd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume II (pp. 243-246).