26 Publikationen

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  • [26]
    2024 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2985771 OA
    M. Ötting, R. Michels, R. Langrock, and C. Deutscher, “Demand for live betting: An analysis using state‐space models”, Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 2024.
    PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
     
  • [25]
    2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2983980 OA
    D. Winkelmann, M. Ötting, C. Deutscher, and T. A. Makarewicz, “Are Betting Markets Inefficient? Evidence From Simulations and Real Data”, Journal of Sports Economics, 2023.
    PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.)
     
  • [24]
    2023 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2982760
    T. Adam, M. Ötting, and R. Michels, in Proceedings of the 37th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Part II (Eds.: E. Bergherr, A. Groll, A. Mayr), Tu Dortmund, Dortmund, 2023, p. 321-325.
    PUB
     
  • [23]
    2023 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Im Druck | PUB-ID: 2978064
    R. Michels, M. Ötting, and R. Langrock, “Bettors’ reaction to match dynamics: Evidence from in-game betting”, European Journal of Operational Research, In Press.
    PUB | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
     
  • [22]
    2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2947369
    S. Mews, R. Langrock, M. Ötting, H. Yaqine, and J. Reinecke, “ Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models”, Statistical Modelling, 2022, : 1471082X211065785.
    PUB | DOI | WoS
     
  • [21]
    2022 | Konferenzband | PUB-ID: 2978259
    Staking and Losing in Live Betting Markets: How Bookmakers Profit, 2022.
    PUB
     
  • [20]
    2022 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2962681
    M. Ötting, and D. Karlis, “Football tracking data: a copula-based hidden Markov model for classification of tactics in football”, Annals of Operations Research , 2022.
    PUB | DOI | WoS
     
  • [19]
    2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2953327 OA
    M. Ötting, R. Langrock, and A. Maruotti, “A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football”, AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 2021.
    PUB | PDF | DOI | WoS
     
  • [18]
    2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2956272 OA
    S. Mews, and M. Ötting, “Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball”, AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 2021, 107, 313–326.
    PUB | PDF | DOI | WoS
     
  • [17]
    2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2951197
    D. Winkelmann, C. Deutscher, and M. Ötting, “Bookmakers’ mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 break”, Applied Economics, 2021, 53, 3054-3064.
    PUB | DOI | WoS | arXiv
     
  • [16]
    2021 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2978258
    C. Deutscher, R. Michels, M. Ötting, and R. Langrock, in 12th ESEA Conference on Sport Economics – Book of Abstracts (Eds.: C. Deutscher, P. Wicker), 2021, p. 33-35.
    PUB
     
  • [15]
    2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2957740
    M. Ötting, “Predicting play calls in the National Football League using hidden Markov models”, IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 2021, 32, 535-545.
    PUB | DOI | WoS
     
  • [14]
    2021 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | E-Veröff. vor dem Druck | PUB-ID: 2955697
    M. Ötting, and A. Groll, “A regularized hidden Markov model for analyzing the 'hot shoe' in football”, Statistical Modelling, 2021, : 1471082X211008014.
    PUB | DOI | WoS
     
  • [13]
    2020 | Preprint | PUB-ID: 2955083
    S. Mews, R. Langrock, M. Ötting, H. Yaqine, and J. Reinecke, “Maximum approximate likelihood estimation of general continuous-time state-space models”, arXiv:2010.14883, 2020.
    PUB | arXiv
     
  • [12]
    2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941474 OA
    M. Ötting, C. Deutscher, S. Schneemann, R. Langrock, S. Gehrmann, and H. Scholten, “Performance under pressure in skill tasks: An analysis of professional darts”, PLOS ONE, 2020, 15, : e0228870.
    PUB | Dateien verfügbar | DOI | WoS | PubMed | Europe PMC
     
  • [11]
    2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2945090 OA
    D. Winkelmann, M. Ötting, and C. Deutscher, Short and long-term biases in European football pre-game betting markets, Bielefeld University, Department Of Business Administration And Economics, Bielefeld, 2020.
    PUB | PDF | DOI
     
  • [10]
    2020 | Diskussionspapier | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2949467 OA
    D. Winkelmann, M. Ötting, and C. Deutscher, Betting Market Inefficiencies in European Football – Bookmakers’ Mispricing or Pure Chance?, Bielefeld University, Department Of Business Administration And Economics, Bielefeld, 2020.
    PUB | PDF | DOI
     
  • [9]
    2020 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2939171 OA
    M. Ötting, R. Langrock, C. Deutscher, and V. Leos-Barajas, “The hot hand in professional darts”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, 2020, 183, 565-580.
    PUB | PDF | DOI | Download (ext.) | WoS
     
  • [8]
    2020 | Bielefelder E-Dissertation | PUB-ID: 2945724 OA
    M. Ötting, Sports statistics in the data age: betting fraud detection and performance evaluation, Universität Bielefeld, Bielefeld, 2020.
    PUB | PDF | DOI
     
  • [7]
    2019 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2935395
    C. Deutscher, M. Ötting, S. Schneemann, and H. Scholten, “The Demand for English Premier League Soccer Betting”, JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS, 2019, 20, 556-579.
    PUB | DOI | WoS
     
  • [6]
    2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941679
    J. M. Pohle, M. Ötting, F. H. Jensen, and R. Langrock, in Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I, 2019, p. 57-61.
    PUB
     
  • [5]
    2019 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2941678
    M. Ötting, R. Langrock, and A. Maruotti, in Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume I, 2019, p. 125-129.
    PUB
     
  • [4]
    2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2919323
    C. Deutscher, B. Frick, and M. Ötting, “Betting market inefficiencies are short-lived in German professional football”, APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2018, 50, 3240-3246.
    PUB | DOI | WoS
     
  • [3]
    2018 | Zeitschriftenaufsatz | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2932997
    M. Ötting, R. Langrock, and C. Deutscher, “Integrating multiple data sources in match-fixing warning systems”, Statistical Modelling, 2018, 18, 483-504.
    PUB | DOI | WoS
     
  • [2]
    2018 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2933003
    M. Ötting, R. Langrock, C. Deutscher, and V. Leos-Barajas, in Proceedings of the 33rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling, Vol. 1, 2018, p. 231-236.
    PUB
     
  • [1]
    2017 | Konferenzbeitrag | Veröffentlicht | PUB-ID: 2913895
    M. Ötting, C. Deutscher, and R. Langrock, in Proceedings of the 32nd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume II (Eds.: M. Grzegorczyk,, G. Ceoldo), 2017, p. 243-246.
    PUB
     

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